TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,583 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Over43c84,999$36,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,367.091353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Under57c35,100$20,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,092.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under58c35,000$20,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,748.365349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over44c22,142$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8005438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under57c11,734$6,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,050.2633148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c10,966$6,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,707.131,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over43c5,814$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under55c5,315$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4694…60acbacked Under57c4,653$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c4,424$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.962,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over43c4,307$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.811752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over41c4,299$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Under57c3,737$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.426142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under57c3,613$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.5922348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under57c2,525$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.562161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under57c2,101$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.4740549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f8…fe4dbacked Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under58c1,849$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under57c1,753$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.632860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c1,608$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.4798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under70c1,557$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.0621058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd248…0ceebacked Under56c1,499$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d1…109bbacked Under56c1,202$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c1,152$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.0193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789e…cf5ebacked Under69c1,102$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over11c1,100$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4207255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Under57c880$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-42%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under56c849$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.5640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under58c760.82$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.7816838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over44c703.91$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.751533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over45c699.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3154242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ba…fa25backed Over44c699$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over3c559.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7814936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1400…f76ebacked Under57c485.96$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…fcdcbacked Over12c451.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under69c444.1$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under58c420$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.212049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over28c400$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11411127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17216251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under57c371.45$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over44c363.64$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over11c349.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under57c342.96$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.474136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under63c332.11$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.599750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c8…2b27backed Over42c316.09$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa558…dc8cbacked Under58c303.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1d0…e7d8backed Under57c287.34$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ee…4841backed Under59c286.37$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61e…0f34backed Over44c273.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over43c273.19$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.473348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e0…207abacked Under59c267.31$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+95.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Over42c261$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Over43c260.47$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2abd…9c2dbacked Over44c260.25$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over40c247.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…5bf1backed Under57c246.35$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under57c244$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Under62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.944100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+110.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a8e…3468backed Over42c237.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…4154backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under57c201.02$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.448940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under57c199.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over16c198$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.681315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-66.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16a…aadfbacked Under59c192.28$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802157.1%12 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe00…c4f3backed Over42c180.47$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0aa…6818backed Under57c173.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9e…ba25backed Over42c165.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over25c159.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ce3…9040backed Under59c153.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.932347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over44c137.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over42c132.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8511150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over44c129.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.652748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under68c129.41$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.412653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe954…f99dbacked Over41c121.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under58c118.75$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.884472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Under58c115.44$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.48683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Over40c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.