Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf6ce602ad775eb929de53ef0cd73780a6a555392d284982266298d3fa6e5d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pisa SCof Bologna FC 1909, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pisa SC | 76c | 5,853$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.95 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 4,010$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ba…fa25backed Pisa SC | 76c | 2,950$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f8…fe4dbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 2,196$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 1,980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 1,471$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pisa SC | 75c | 1,285$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.07 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…109bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 749.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 13c | 508.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Pisa SC | 78c | 491.01$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…f7aabacked Bologna FC 1909 | 18c | 470.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pisa SC | 74c | 399.97$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pisa SC | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Pisa SC | 75c | 280$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Pisa SC | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 14c | 266$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bologna FC 1909 | 12c | 263.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 244.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Pisa SC | 74c | 230$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 219.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 23c | 206.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Pisa SC | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Bologna FC 1909 | 20c | 152.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Pisa SC | 77c | 130.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Bologna FC 1909 | 20c | 126.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Pisa SC | 77c | 124.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Pisa SC | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Pisa SC | 74c | 115.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…39febacked Pisa SC | 77c | 104.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9e…b97fbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 22c | 97.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 71.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pisa SC | 76c | 70.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 68.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bologna FC 1909 | 21c | 68.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 60.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Pisa SC | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Pisa SC | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f36…5071backed Pisa SC | 76c | 58.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Pisa SC | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Pisa SC | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Pisa SC | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pisa SC | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pisa SC | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Pisa SC | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Pisa SC | 78c | 20.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Pisa SC | 76c | 17.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Pisa SC | 77c | 16.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)this page
- Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.