Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33a0c883a13be5a3c2ed3a34b063b341cb3347f63f3cde56955a954045d1402e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,766 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	56c	3,822$2,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,684.97	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes	32c	2,596$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.35	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	8c	2,398$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.8	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	24c	1,146$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.06	69	24.6%17 W · 52 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No	51c	1,141$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.18	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	48c	1,040$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.37	404	47.3%191 W · 213 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	50c	991.38$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.69	160	32.5%52 W · 108 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No	51c	935.82$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.55	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes	16c	768.49$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.74	168	38.1%64 W · 104 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	49c	746.52$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.45	985	44.9%442 W · 543 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes	49c	682.12$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.24	331	48.6%161 W · 170 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes	50c	540$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No	62c	483.87$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.87	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	12c	404.78$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.6	498	50.6%252 W · 246 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbef7…0236backed Yes	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Yes	50c	312.43$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	15	60%9 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	314	41.4%130 W · 184 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked No	52c	280$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.4	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x892f…e95dbacked No	51c	205$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe6…6d3bbacked No	51c	194.98$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.54	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7903…df88backed No	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked No	67c	160.94$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.11	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No	59c	144.51$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	163	40.5%66 W · 97 L	-14.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked No	52c	140$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.2	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes	43c	138.46$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes	51c	118.01$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No	60c	111.91$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.55	397	40.6%161 W · 236 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes	39c	111$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.63	145	49.7%72 W · 73 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked No	52c	110$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.9	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes	48c	104.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	267	44.6%119 W · 148 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes	50c	101.7$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.85	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-6.1wins	-0.23per pick	49cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	387	39.8%154 W · 233 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes	11c	99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	233	45.1%105 W · 128 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed No	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	25	76%19 W · 6 L	+3.6wins	+0.15per pick	61cpaid	+29%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dfc…b4fdbacked Yes	49c	97.81$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed No	54c	91.83$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.66	88	61.4%54 W · 34 L	+9.6wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.20per pick	42cpaid	+44%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	50c	75.15$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.58	511	39.1%200 W · 311 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes	15c	73.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	165	26.1%43 W · 122 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed No	66c	70.19$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+163.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked No	52c	70$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No	52c	70$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No	64c	69.29$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.22	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed No	52c	60.26$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.05	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes	50c	60.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.07	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed Yes	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed No	52c	59.18$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.55	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Yes	43c	58.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	34c	57.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.85	181	25.4%46 W · 135 L	-18.7wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes	50c	52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	133	50.4%67 W · 66 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked No	62c	48.39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…33e3backed Yes	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked No	51c	39.6$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.55	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+8.6wins	+0.27per pick	42cpaid	+81.2%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked No	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd019…4ee0backed No	60c	32$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked No	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	52	67.3%35 W · 17 L	+9.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked No	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c59…2534backed Yes	38c	26.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76be…5da1backed No	52c	26.09$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes	39c	26.04$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	74	62.2%46 W · 28 L	+7.2wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2434…1ad7backed No	51c	24.69$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d0…1a0fbacked No	51c	21.59$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.58	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+49.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89d3…59a6backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1f8…e204backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…c4c1backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24fe…0d84backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked No	52c	19.62$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.47	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Under won
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Pisa SC won
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)Pisa SC won
Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event