TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89d3…59a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT4924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$135.48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.71
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$42.44
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.48
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+392.3%+$198.5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.77
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$37.16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$36.37
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+239.5%+$71.85
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+197.1%+$64.84
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$102
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+91.8%+$23.09
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.89
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+102.1%+$24.5
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+94.4%+$18.88
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$23.9
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.1%+$19.47
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+65.2%+$7.17
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+46.2%+$5.72
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.05
Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+110%+$13.75
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92%+$12.14
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+84.2%+$14.31
Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+71.4%+$8.57
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+105.6%+$18.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.98
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.7%+$7.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.