NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5203c5873791f88797a9e63f5a13376b2ea26025911e7b5b6b960d49bf6bf4c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,157.46 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 49c | 5,696$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.06 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0134…12d2backed Under | 51c | 5,002$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 51c | 4,249$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 4,036$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 52c | 2,716$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.15 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 52c | 2,437$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.09 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Under | 52c | 2,080$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.6 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 1,922$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.78 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d2…47b7backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…d0cabacked Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…54f2backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…57ffbacked Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf34…94cbbacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…d89dbacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda8c…9906backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…3258backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…e3a1backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…c5ddbacked Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…e09fbacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaa…171cbacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…197abacked Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…fc59backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a3…42eabacked Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c3…53c2backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…70aabacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…80b4backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…705ebacked Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…e7abbacked Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac85…3103backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a41…9094backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…0009backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…9dd2backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c8…8b52backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…6d63backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…399ebacked Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…6cb0backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd63…6d88backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…36fdbacked Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…2c1bbacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4c…fab6backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…dccabacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…8d69backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…2e84backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…7234backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…3dfebacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…97d3backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…4899backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…585abacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…4458backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…a612backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8408…8ab0backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…66dfbacked Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb910…6d68backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…09f9backed Over | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…778cbacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…7448backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…2243backed Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…e06bbacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 51c | 1,388$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 1,035$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.85 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 46c | 825.61$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.04 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 801.48$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 66c | 759.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 41c | 557.33$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.47 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 524.79$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.62 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 45c | 498$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.76 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 46c | 485.87$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.88 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…5707backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 333.77$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 308.3$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 275.37$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.01 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 273.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 72c | 247.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 77c | 217.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 211.09$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 49c | 201$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…a9a9backed Over | 59c | 182.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…072cbacked Over | 57c | 175.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 168 | 62.5%105 W · 63 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Over | 59c | 169.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 97 | 68%66 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 169$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 160.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 34c | 148.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 142.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Over | 49c | 140.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Under | 43c | 114.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Lakers vs. WarriorsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Moses Moody: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.