NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59a72661e085aa7f29d2453c66643a10f7df67a94fa61ba0979f98eb93976cc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 53c | 24,492$12,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,915.76 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Warriors | 53c | 21,724$11,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,513.98 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Lakers | 47c | 10,639$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.85 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 47c | 10,447$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,542.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Lakers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.98 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 53c | 9,551$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 53c | 5,249$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Lakers | 48c | 5,200$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 47c | 4,725$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.25 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Lakers | 46c | 4,725$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.41 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 47c | 4,357$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.49 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Lakers | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Lakers | 47c | 3,180$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.4 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Lakers | 47c | 3,145$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.68 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Warriors | 53c | 3,065$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.56 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 53c | 2,415$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.03 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Lakers | 47c | 2,185$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.55 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Warriors | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 47c | 1,916$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lakers | 47c | 1,560$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.8 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 53c | 1,300$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.39 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 47c | 1,173$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.78 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 46c | 929.07$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Lakers | 47c | 821.77$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.54 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Lakers | 47c | 819$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.07 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…6a97backed Warriors | 50c | 642$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf7…86a7backed Lakers | 50c | 642$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lakers | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…471dbacked Warriors | 50c | 638$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…7b1cbacked Lakers | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…d897backed Lakers | 50c | 614$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…bf50backed Warriors | 50c | 602$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Warriors | 53c | 599.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Lakers | 46c | 595.55$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.55 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Warriors | 53c | 562.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…0c6abacked Lakers | 50c | 558$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…7e78backed Warriors | 50c | 552$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 68c | 538.55$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…7047backed Lakers | 50c | 522$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…18febacked Warriors | 53c | 519.39$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…9a3dbacked Warriors | 50c | 504$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…5213backed Lakers | 50c | 502$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Warriors | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Lakers | 47c | 478$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.34 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Warriors | 53c | 462.74$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.62 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Lakers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Lakers | 47c | 301.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.86 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Lakers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lakers | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lakers | 47c | 283.56$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 46c | 271.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Lakers | 47c | 257.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…37f3backed Warriors | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Warriors | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Lakers | 47c | 227.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Lakers | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 47c | 211.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers | 48c | 208.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 48c | 197.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Lakers | 48c | 191.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Warriors | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Warriors | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…bc81backed Warriors | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Lakers | 48c | 179.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Lakers | 46c | 158.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 20c | 149.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Warriors | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Warriors | 54c | 147.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Warriors | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Warriors | 53c | 128.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Warriors | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Warriors | 53c | 122.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Warriors | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…fa37backed Lakers | 47c | 112.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Lakers | 46c | 111.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Lakers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Lakers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 47c | 100.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Warriors | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Lakers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Lakers | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Warriors | 54c | 91.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6e…919bbacked Warriors | 54c | 90.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…cf96backed Lakers | 47c | 90.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Lakers | 47c | 87.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Warriors | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Warriors | 53c | 74.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 47c | 68.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Lakers | 47c | 66.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb10…1584backed Warriors | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Warriors | 45c | 65.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Warriors | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Warriors | 54c | 62.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Warriors | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Warriors | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Warriors | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Warriors | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Lakers vs. WarriorsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Moses Moody: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.