TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf19d…276fbacked Over45c60,175$27,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,105.0723147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under55c54,589$30,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,024.0356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c6,666$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3331,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under54c5,490$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.432,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under55c4,926$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.32,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over50c4,692$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.781,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under36c4,206$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.2940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over45c4,039$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.5525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c3,631$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.322,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c2,977$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.722,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c2,708$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.621943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0815450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under50c1,504$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75450754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over40c1,500$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.494131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c1,490$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.472,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c1,474$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.923,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.552245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over52c1,259$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2140451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over37c1,198$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.619435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Over53c1,066$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.214454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c1,059$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.623,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,055$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.324,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over52c1,027$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.191,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over53c1,020$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.2451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c1,003$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over44c909.78$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.6150241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over50c900$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over60c896.75$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.734855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c838$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.621,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under44c804.48$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over48c788.42$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.5822836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c751.94$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.773,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c710.52$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c540$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over43c533.92$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c512.87$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.641,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24530641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c472$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under58c400.54$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under58c398.06$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under58c382.49$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.217051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under42c375.93$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8935843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c331$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under53c329.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.573,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over48c329.16$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.373,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over47c319.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.077334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over47c300$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16025846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Over36c273$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.678757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6990…6185backed Under49c265.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under45c244.28$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1153149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948d…d6a8backed Under43c221.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.432445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c215.89$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.582,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3331249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e03…b448backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over51c195.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5414155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under55c188$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5430840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over56c178.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6814547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over40c177.2$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.215543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Under60c175.13$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.086963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Under59c170.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.495855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed Under69c150.25$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.672161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over48c146.31$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1645251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c145.58$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.245,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c145.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under48c145$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.635749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over52c143.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.021,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Over46c139.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.69050%45 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over35c136.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3610637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0372250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c126.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.082,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under49c121.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7128348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.813115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Over47c120$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.323047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c119$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.621,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.289226.1%24 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ba…1ae8backed Under54c113$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c110.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac2…c7e0backed Under55c110$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under70c104.42$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.949351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under68c103.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8313951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over56c99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.11,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62da…2fdabacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over47c90.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4833554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under46c88.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6149…80dfbacked Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c21…5b0bbacked Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.96714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-68.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Over58c82.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.767744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9307…8910backed Over38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.951540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under44c70.21$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6713950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under69c69.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0762347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under55c69.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.651,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…0518backed Over45c66.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under39c63.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8178648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under50c60.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.181,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8218150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c58.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.94,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.