NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb400cdcf6412ff941c470a0e720eb9fb966c2d13bdcd4a6dea03d4468844fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 51c | 12,872$6,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,555.03 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 7,171$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Under | 1c | 3,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…7766backed Over | 40c | 2,757$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 49c | 2,034$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.96 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 23c | 1,685$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.59 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 54c | 1,656$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.79 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 5c | 1,652$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 1,587$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 60c | 1,486$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.49 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 3c | 1,460$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 54c | 1,354$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.68 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 77c | 1,291$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.91 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 41c | 1,215$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.21 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Under | 69c | 951.14$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.14 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 930.77$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.97 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 64c | 855.59$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.37 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7759…351dbacked Under | 50c | 714$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Under | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.8wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…3ff7backed Over | 50c | 686$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaea…e784backed Under | 50c | 664$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 651$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…b969backed Under | 50c | 648$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b05…35f4backed Over | 50c | 642$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba1…0a67backed Over | 50c | 624$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Under | 22c | 599.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…393fbacked Over | 50c | 596$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…48f3backed Over | 37c | 580.42$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.42 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…92e6backed Under | 50c | 558$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…1e66backed Over | 50c | 556$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…81d3backed Under | 50c | 548$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…c14fbacked Over | 50c | 540$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 522.13$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.68 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…7809backed Under | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 53c | 453.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Under | 73c | 451.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.65 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 388.05$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 60c | 376.51$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 30c | 351.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 38c | 332.83$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.59 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 292.02$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 43c | 288$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 31c | 229.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.46 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 73c | 209.09$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Under | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 53c | 190.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 50c | 186.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 46c | 182.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 164.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 50c | 149.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 54c | 146.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 27c | 124.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 78c | 107.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb1…fa88backed Over | 40c | 105.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 99.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 54c | 99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 20c | 95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 57c | 81.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24ee…f34ebacked Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 53c | 66.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…e145backed Under | 53c | 66.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 80c | 61.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 158 | 63.9%101 W · 57 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 34c | 59.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 31c | 52.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 65c | 52.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Over | 53c | 51.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 47c | 50.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 41c | 48.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 47.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 30c | 42.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…d8f4backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…59a6backed Over | 51c | 38.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 45c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 35c | 35.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…857ebacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 45c | 29.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 59c | 28.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 57c | 27.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…9f73backed Over | 48c | 24.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Lakers vs. WarriorsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Moses Moody: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.