NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e3904af35739a311e6710ce4dbf3cb995333559096e8d5e0f26e2bb564f6268
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 52c | 8,039$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.84 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 2,112$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 2,076$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 2,070$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.6 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 851$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 48c | 821.28$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.21 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 19c | 810.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 31c | 595.21$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.03 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Over | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 56c | 457.34$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 79c | 447$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 31c | 331.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 80c | 250.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 249.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 52c | 214.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Over | 48c | 209.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Over | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 45c | 164.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 40c | 130.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Under | 54c | 92.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 76.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…85b1backed Under | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 44c | 61.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…e158backed Over | 48c | 59.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 67c | 55.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 61c | 50.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 56c | 47.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 46.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 48c | 36.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 34.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed Under | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Over | 30c | 33.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 41c | 33.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 32.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…59a6backed Over | 48c | 31.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 80c | 24.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 23.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 56c | 22.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Lakers vs. WarriorsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Moses Moody: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.