NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf34b8b09d501adc59b214713c0793ecd2d0d52b3c138f08ab67a666d18b01dd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,427,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,752,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,427,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 40c | 716,407$286,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286,562.8 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers | 60c | 510,543$305,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205,491.71 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Warriors | 40c | 389,978$155,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,691.45 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 38c | 374,119$143,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,989.91 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 61c | 280,992$170,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,888.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lakers | 61c | 175,418$106,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,926.3 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Warriors | 40c | 136,477$54,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,590.74 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 60c | 104,704$62,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,743.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Warriors | 7c | 100,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.98 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Lakers | 61c | 82,308$50,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,278.06 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 8c | 52,180$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.06 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Warriors | 41c | 50,103$20,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,524.55 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Lakers | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Lakers | 61c | 49,998$30,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.33 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 40c | 35,479$14,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,358.78 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0fa2backed Lakers | 60c | 33,690$20,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,476 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Lakers | 61c | 32,712$19,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,757.73 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 10c | 31,607$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.96 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Lakers | 62c | 29,520$18,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,217.6 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers | 60c | 29,000$17,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,660 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Warriors | 41c | 28,740$11,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,783.4 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…9c47backed Warriors | 26c | 26,551$6,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,893 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…6d18backed Lakers | 60c | 25,807$15,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,322.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Warriors | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Warriors | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.98 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Lakers | 60c | 23,405$14,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,362 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 8c | 22,070$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 62c | 22,063$13,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,383.93 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Lakers | 60c | 22,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Lakers | 60c | 21,044$12,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,417.6 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Lakers | 60c | 20,995$12,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,398 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Lakers | 60c | 20,124$12,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,049.6 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…d2b5backed Lakers | 60c | 17,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800.2 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Lakers | 78c | 16,141$12,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.86 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 7c | 15,548$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 40c | 15,212$6,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,011.96 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors | 38c | 14,000$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Warriors | 1c | 12,538$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lakers | 67c | 12,153$8,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…ef89backed Lakers | 62c | 12,147$7,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Warriors | 32c | 12,041$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.82 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 15c | 11,989$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.23 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Warriors | 14c | 11,535$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.39 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Lakers | 61c | 11,300$6,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Warriors | 40c | 11,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Lakers | 59c | 11,000$6,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Lakers | 59c | 11,000$6,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.35 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lakers | 60c | 10,995$6,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.72 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 61c | 10,984$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.76 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 41c | 10,849$4,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431.13 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Lakers | 62c | 10,529$6,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.89 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Warriors | 0c | 10,351$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Lakers | 61c | 10,052$6,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.02 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Warriors | 0c | 10,014$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Warriors | 1c | 10,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Warriors | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Warriors | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Lakers | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Lakers | 61c | 9,832$5,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.45 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 60c | 9,745$5,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.88 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Lakers | 59c | 9,391$5,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.3 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 59c | 9,338$5,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.11 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Warriors | 39c | 8,955$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.59 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Lakers | 61c | 8,732$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.33 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Lakers | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Lakers | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.52 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Warriors | 39c | 7,600$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.43 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 7,350$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Warriors | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Lakers | 63c | 7,199$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.55 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Warriors | 41c | 6,666$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.06 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 60c | 6,645$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.04 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 31c | 6,567$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.3 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Lakers | 59c | 6,202$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b8…950bbacked Warriors | 39c | 6,192$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.27 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 79c | 6,164$4,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.28 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Lakers | 60c | 6,042$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.67 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Lakers | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…3b20backed Lakers | 59c | 5,700$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Warriors | 40c | 5,649$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.09 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Lakers | 60c | 5,358$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.33 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Lakers | 66c | 5,300$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Warriors | 19c | 5,285$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…5eb4backed Lakers | 61c | 5,282$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.95 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked Lakers | 60c | 5,233$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.33 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Lakers | 61c | 5,091$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.68 | 179 | 62%111 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Lakers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Lakers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Lakers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…4fd7backed Warriors | 40c | 4,939$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Warriors | 41c | 4,930$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 59c | 4,864$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.24 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 75c | 4,540$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Warriors | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Lakers | 61c | 4,444$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.15 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lakers | 66c | 4,194$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.32 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Warriors | 11c | 4,133$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.12 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Warriors | 41c | 4,100$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.8 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Moses Moody: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.