NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5968c8c5a223cd28388d05bd1fa41e7bbf4191f83a173f1bfe79b2c56c72cc5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 1,483$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 1,401$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.67 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 44c | 1,133$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 40c | 1,015$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 39c | 940.8$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 762$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.46 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 37c | 639.3$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.61 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 543.8$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.48 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 534.26$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 50c | 460.47$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.47 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 61c | 421.31$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 404.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 385.37$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 38c | 347.68$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 46c | 327.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 52c | 311.24$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 60c | 303.08$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.26 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 269.08$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 29c | 197.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.85 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 196.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 46c | 196.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 41c | 193.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 186.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…fc1abacked Under | 40c | 159.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +291.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 45c | 114.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 60c | 100.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 92.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over | 41c | 82.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 53c | 78.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Over | 40c | 67.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…683dbacked Under | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 62.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 61c | 62.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 54c | 61.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…59a6backed Over | 56c | 61.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 44c | 58.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 42c | 53.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 45c | 51.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Over | 40c | 49.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 49.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 51c | 45.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 56c | 42.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Under | 61c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 42c | 35.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…6698backed Under | 59c | 35.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8676…3e5dbacked Over | 46c | 32.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Over | 36c | 28.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…e9f2backed Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Over | 57c | 18.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.