NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc173c01c1dc9b2c491abed364d65664b934932f0aae1dd5c3b6ee2242c1f89a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 21,115$9,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,236.01 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 17,164$9,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,552.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 3,112$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,767$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 1,621$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 1,485$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 1,342$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 58c | 994.83$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.83 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe1…8115backed Over | 48c | 759$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3324…653abacked Under | 52c | 386$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…e115backed Under | 52c | 372.7$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 43c | 330$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 321.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 303.3$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 57c | 259$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 43c | 165$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 156$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 129.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 46c | 123.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 114$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 56c | 112.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 57c | 90.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 88.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 43c | 82.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 43c | 82.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 15c | 76.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 71.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Over | 45c | 55.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 52c | 41.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 48c | 37.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.