NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf81d963fff955624db6edf7dbca510295cdb3baf7107f3c14841d8c6631307df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 15,555$7,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,135.23 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 13,297$7,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 45c | 7,328$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.43 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Under | 55c | 6,183$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 5,038$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 4,559$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.61 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 45c | 4,357$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.65 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 47c | 4,301$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 2,413$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.13 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 46c | 2,299$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.68 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 50c | 1,239$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.3 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 1,158$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 1,138$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 51c | 989.95$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.88 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 926.52$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 46c | 917.83$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.2 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 900$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 851.67$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.77 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 52c | 793$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.36 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 55c | 689.5$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 653.63$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…2aa3backed Under | 50c | 611$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…ede1backed Under | 50c | 561$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…5cb8backed Under | 50c | 553$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…d2dcbacked Under | 50c | 537$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…166fbacked Over | 50c | 512$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 490.46$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.15 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…f4b2backed Under | 50c | 482$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…29c1backed Over | 50c | 478$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…1892backed Over | 50c | 465$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 449.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 26c | 447.4$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.63 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdc…949abacked Over | 50c | 447$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 427$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7204…bdaebacked Over | 50c | 427$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 55c | 425.86$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.43 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b0…01afbacked Over | 50c | 415$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Over | 53c | 314.9$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.17 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 305.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 252.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 55c | 250$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 238.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 68c | 237.01$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 46c | 196$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…fc1abacked Under | 27c | 185.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +291.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 54c | 183$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 54c | 171.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 48c | 157.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 149$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 54c | 141.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 38c | 133.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 133.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 110.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 46c | 97.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 95.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…022dbacked Over | 46c | 93.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 60c | 91.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 50c | 90.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 46c | 89.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 81.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 44c | 79.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Over | 47c | 74.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ba84backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 61.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 45c | 52.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 46c | 52.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Over | 49c | 40.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…ba41backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 53c | 39.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Over | 47c | 38.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…0edfbacked Over | 50c | 31.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…a9ddbacked Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 53c | 29.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 46c | 29.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 46c | 26.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 45c | 25.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 58c | 23.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 23.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdc…0745backed Under | 50c | 22.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.