TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,790 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Over51c40,000$20,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,297.0312639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c25,820$12,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,074.692,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c23,575$11,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,787.3754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c20,038$9,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,191.159,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3290…1135backed Under49c11,029$5,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,624.571861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under50c11,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5009741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c10,850$5,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5551,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c9,659$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,829.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over0c3,427$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5567921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c3,247$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.142,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2751,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c2,388$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.583,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Over50c2,222$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11121446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Under50c2,118$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05917344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c2,000$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c1,896$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9481,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c1,178$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c706$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3536,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under50c656$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c599.98$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.234854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Under50c510$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2553253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over51c392.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9918147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c382.89$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.443,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c381.63$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6321943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under34c308.06$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.473,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c303.53$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15328348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c297.02$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.511,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c268.39$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.812,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under44c266.96$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5453149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over51c212.7$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4826048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0422746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10238242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over51c160$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.617148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over56c151.41$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under50c149.54$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5415154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Over51c148.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.755151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under50c148.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1251146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under50c144.88$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.441,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Under50c144$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7213045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b0…48f3backed Over70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011247.3%53 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over57c140.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.593,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under50c109$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.523946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad9…294fbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Over52c95.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6612538.4%48 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Over43c93.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Over52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.65954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4055846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3033…fc1abacked Under18c77.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.783100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+291.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over22c74.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.251,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under50c68.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3223349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…ea25backed Under50c60.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.251947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under50c55.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8162844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under49c51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.011,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under50c48.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa7…2bb4backed Over51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.481752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Over39c43.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710034%34 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Over73c41.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305966.1%39 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under50c40.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015041.3%62 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012841.4%53 W · 75 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea73…0c3cbacked Under50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under50c35.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5892750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac65…a9ddbacked Over51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over55c25.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7245653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under49c22.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4448852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over59c21.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked Over56c20.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0172…4d2bbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.