NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e6c2029533c827a6813de7f6e38cfd1fc65bc9f803860083baf3dff9d875dc

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $656,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $704,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $656,715 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors	50c	150,000$75,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,000	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks	50c	70,429$35,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,202.89	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors	50c	69,915$34,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,788	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Raptors	50c	50,324$25,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,162.03	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Knicks	50c	50,153$25,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,906.86	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Knicks	50c	49,957$24,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,978.5	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Raptors	51c	49,486$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Knicks	50c	48,112$24,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,056	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors	50c	43,000$21,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,460	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Knicks	51c	38,800$19,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,012	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Raptors	49c	30,070$14,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,734.51	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks	50c	29,277$14,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,638.51	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Knicks	51c	28,359$14,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,979.17	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Raptors	49c	25,966$12,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,723.33	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors	50c	18,104$8,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,984.07	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Knicks	51c	18,000$9,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,820	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2c…2d2abacked Knicks	50c	15,992$7,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,996	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Knicks	50c	15,000$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks	49c	13,618$6,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,903.65	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks	50c	12,372$6,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,242.37	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Knicks	50c	12,000$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,000	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors	49c	11,559$5,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,663.91	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Knicks	50c	9,800$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Knicks	50c	9,109$4,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,554.57	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Raptors	49c	9,000$4,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,410	197	47.7%94 W · 103 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors	49c	8,308$4,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,093	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Knicks	50c	7,070$3,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,535	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Raptors	50c	7,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Raptors	50c	6,500$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f3…3110backed Knicks	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Raptors	50c	5,629$2,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,814.57	127	40.9%52 W · 75 L	-15.3wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Knicks	50c	5,577$2,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,788.4	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Knicks	49c	5,475$2,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,792.25	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks	50c	5,298$2,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,649	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Knicks	50c	5,215$2,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,607.49	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Knicks	50c	5,187$2,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,593.5	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Raptors	50c	5,088$2,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,543.81	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Knicks	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Raptors	50c	5,000$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,475	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks	49c	4,172$2,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,112.78	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Knicks	51c	4,154$2,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,035.56	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b8…68c0backed Knicks	51c	4,069$2,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,993.63	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Raptors	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks	50c	3,194$1,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.38	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Knicks	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,409.78	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Knicks	50c	2,998$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.24	54	63%34 W · 20 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Knicks	51c	2,948$1,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,444.52	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Raptors	51c	2,941$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Knicks	50c	2,789$1,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,394.4	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Raptors	51c	2,640$1,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,337.6	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-7.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Raptors	35c	2,387$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.61	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks	51c	2,372$1,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,153.06	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Knicks	51c	2,254$1,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,104.23	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Raptors	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Knicks	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Knicks	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors	50c	1,955$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.5	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors	49c	1,906$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.2	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Knicks	50c	1,768$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Knicks	50c	1,700$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Raptors	49c	1,633$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.15	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Knicks	52c	1,617$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.22	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	42cpaid	+183%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Knicks	52c	1,600$832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.96	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Knicks	50c	1,550$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-10.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Knicks	50c	1,493$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.35	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Raptors	50c	1,473$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.5	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks	49c	1,383$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.22	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Knicks	50c	1,300$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Knicks	52c	1,212$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.81	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Knicks	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Knicks	51c	1,188$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.17	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Raptors	50c	1,057$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.26	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Knicks	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Knicks	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Raptors	50c	950$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	187	43.3%81 W · 106 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Raptors	47c	917.56$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.25	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Knicks	50c	896$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Knicks	51c	892.16$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.16	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Raptors	50c	873$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.5	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Knicks	50c	859.57$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.79	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Knicks	51c	847.41$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.23	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Knicks	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Knicks	76c	800$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	43	67.4%29 W · 14 L	+6.3wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Knicks	51c	784.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks	63c	777.19$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.97	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Raptors	51c	666.67$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	195	31.3%61 W · 134 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Knicks	50c	640$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Knicks	51c	625$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.25	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Raptors	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Raptors	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Knicks	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks	50c	528$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors	3c	521.81$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.63	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors	47c	509.85$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.63	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258b…270ebacked Raptors	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Knicks	51c	500$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Knicks	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5No won
Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Under won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5No won
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 16.5No won
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event