NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e04de23b7abac1a10373399eaf5764ed8fcd45686dad8f66971f679276143d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Knicks | 54c | 4,830$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.82 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 45c | 4,186$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Knicks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…e0adbacked Raptors | 45c | 1,378$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Raptors | 45c | 1,188$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.42 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Knicks | 55c | 1,180$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 54c | 985.6$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 51c | 901.35$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Knicks | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Raptors | 45c | 561.67$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.42 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Knicks | 55c | 451.25$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.06 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 45c | 380.56$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 56c | 357.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 45c | 317.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Raptors | 46c | 310$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 44c | 309.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Raptors | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Raptors | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Knicks | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Raptors | 45c | 272.34$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Raptors | 46c | 215.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Knicks | 56c | 206.89$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Knicks | 56c | 160.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Knicks | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Raptors | 46c | 155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Knicks | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 55c | 110.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 60c | 102.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18eb…a602backed Knicks | 55c | 90.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Raptors | 46c | 77.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Raptors | 46c | 77.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…d2d8backed Knicks | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks | 51c | 66.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Raptors | 44c | 65.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dd…5a9fbacked Knicks | 56c | 62.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Knicks | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Knicks | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Raptors | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Knicks | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raptors | 22c | 45.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 44c | 45.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 43c | 42.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Knicks | 69c | 37.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Knicks | 53c | 33.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Knicks | 44c | 32.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Raptors | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Raptors | 46c | 29.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Knicks | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Knicks | 50c | 27.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Raptors | 45c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…5f91backed Knicks | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.