NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf19a4edb7b07afd2317084da5bedf02ba3960a616d7be7f27847116bbfaa63da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 7,586$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.33 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 53c | 7,328$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.2 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.34 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Under | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.93 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 48c | 1,999$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.63 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,557$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Under | 52c | 1,484$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.32 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 17c | 1,129$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 1,034$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Over | 48c | 689.58$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 387.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 286.65$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked Under | 52c | 246.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Over | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Under | 52c | 212.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Under | 52c | 211.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 192.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 125.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 116.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed Over | 48c | 106.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Over | 48c | 106.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…e998backed Over | 48c | 84.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed Over | 48c | 81.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Over | 48c | 80.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 72.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 56c | 67.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 53c | 42.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 57c | 39.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 31c | 35.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 48c | 32.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over | 49c | 32.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…a9ddbacked Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Over | 47c | 25.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 75c | 25.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 57c | 21.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.