TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,417,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,689,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,417,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,581 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks59c120,393$70,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,925.462,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Raptors44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,999.968944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Knicks57c99,998$56,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,999.2911955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors41c97,519$39,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,989.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Knicks56c89,256$49,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,272.5443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Raptors43c69,419$29,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,850.126253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Knicks56c65,000$36,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,60029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors44c60,000$26,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,299.851,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Knicks56c55,986$31,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,426.251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed Raptors44c31,818$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Raptors43c28,384$12,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,205.11,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f01…7010backed Raptors45c25,057$11,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,275.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Raptors0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299c…0b3dbacked Knicks55c25,000$13,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,249.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Raptors43c24,315$10,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,455.2737539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Knicks58c24,000$13,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0808052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Raptors42c24,000$10,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,079.846943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Knicks76c23,790$18,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,594.4717246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Raptors43c21,699$9,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,330.7617249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Raptors43c20,998$8,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,929.1248343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Raptors44c20,994$9,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,200.6959347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Knicks56c20,369$11,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,962.4138251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Knicks70c19,698$13,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,909.462646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks56c18,945$10,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,312.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors43c18,597$7,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,996.541,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks57c18,500$10,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,007.813,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Raptors44c17,600$7,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,74418747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Knicks60c17,003$10,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,779.750241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors26c14,963$3,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,956.161,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Knicks57c14,912$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,412.2822458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Knicks59c14,747$8,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,048.9210952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Raptors43c13,512$5,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,782.041,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Knicks57c13,158$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,657.899531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Raptors43c12,637$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,433.7128649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Knicks57c12,505$7,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,342.2939349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors42c12,417$5,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.464,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Raptors20c11,875$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37528643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks56c11,671$6,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,135.242,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors43c11,422$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,855.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks71c11,318$8,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.551,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Knicks57c10,144$5,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,317.091,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Raptors41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.942050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Raptors43c9,999$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.5741832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Knicks57c9,255$5,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.4632039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Raptors26c9,001$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3007133.8%24 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b03…2c36backed Knicks57c8,933$5,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,841.33944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Knicks57c8,772$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.9310158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Raptors32c8,333$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.151,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Knicks54c7,998$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.2452760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors37c7,708$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.984,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Raptors43c7,204$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.0529250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea7b…a34bbacked Knicks59c6,999$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.672958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Raptors29c6,947$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.6219136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Raptors42c6,915$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.3524744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Knicks57c6,841$3,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.2120454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors43c6,622$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.681,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Raptors55c6,573$3,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.116841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Knicks57c6,400$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7349758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Raptors43c6,400$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.9610035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Knicks57c6,376$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.5162652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors17c6,046$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.3681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Knicks62c5,886$3,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.4112954.3%70 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks74c5,654$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.341,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks56c5,613$3,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Knicks56c5,555$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.276850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Raptors42c5,532$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.447143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Knicks56c5,303$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.7937557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Raptors34c5,172$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.4589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Raptors43c5,162$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.663450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x739a…a4d2backed Knicks76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2004242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.911,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3359…d5bdbacked Raptors44c4,982$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7731…fbadbacked Raptors32c4,945$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Knicks56c4,945$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.671931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Knicks57c4,930$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.824438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Knicks57c4,860$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.85855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors27c4,716$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors42c4,664$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.975,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Knicks57c4,635$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.0214251.4%73 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…b6d1backed Knicks58c4,600$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Raptors44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Knicks61c4,431$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.634852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Raptors32c4,427$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40748956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors23c4,391$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.481,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9949backed Knicks57c4,380$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12dd…bfe9backed Raptors43c4,370$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a5…a227backed Raptors43c4,370$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6332…735bbacked Knicks57c4,360$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec6…d236backed Knicks57c4,360$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefcb…5e46backed Knicks57c4,350$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fbb…b3bcbacked Raptors43c4,350$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf65d…8d72backed Raptors43c4,340$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ad…0cb4backed Raptors42c4,310$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b8…daa2backed Knicks58c4,300$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65e…df09backed Knicks58c4,290$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c9…f0d7backed Raptors42c4,290$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa77…723cbacked Raptors42c4,290$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55bd…1eb3backed Knicks58c4,280$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf6…e802backed Knicks58c4,280$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.