Tennis · resolved market
Thionville: Jurij Rodionov vs Hugo Grenier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f61b450949d10c4af9eb0a9613aabfc137e929ba93866970abda8c6464f523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jurij Rodionovof Jurij Rodionov, Hugo Grenier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hugo Grenier | 7c | 18,876$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.23 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Hugo Grenier | 20c | 5,401$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.21 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hugo Grenier | 11c | 1,904$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hugo Grenier | 12c | 1,617$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.54 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Jurij Rodionov | 62c | 1,213$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.78 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Hugo Grenier | 7c | 744.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 625$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.35 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hugo Grenier | 43c | 602.73$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.49 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Hugo Grenier | 44c | 548.26$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Jurij Rodionov | 57c | 523.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.88 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Hugo Grenier | 19c | 518.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Hugo Grenier | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hugo Grenier | 46c | 409.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.09 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Hugo Grenier | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Hugo Grenier | 26c | 370.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 321 | 31.2%100 W · 221 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hugo Grenier | 31c | 356.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Jurij Rodionov | 57c | 347.17$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Jurij Rodionov | 58c | 266$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Hugo Grenier | 45c | 236.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Hugo Grenier | 30c | 235.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 56c | 232.64$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Jurij Rodionov | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Hugo Grenier | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jurij Rodionov | 51c | 184.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Hugo Grenier | 21c | 180.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Hugo Grenier | 14c | 138$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Hugo Grenier | 42c | 126$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jurij Rodionov | 56c | 104.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Jurij Rodionov | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Jurij Rodionov | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Hugo Grenier | 14c | 98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hugo Grenier | 25c | 88.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Jurij Rodionov | 63c | 79.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Hugo Grenier | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Hugo Grenier | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Hugo Grenier | 41c | 57.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Jurij Rodionov | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jurij Rodionov | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Jurij Rodionov | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Hugo Grenier | 42c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Hugo Grenier | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Jurij Rodionov | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Jurij Rodionov | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…b421backed Hugo Grenier | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Hugo Grenier | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Jurij Rodionov | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Jurij Rodionov | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jurij Rodionov | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Hugo Grenier | 42c | 30.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Hugo Grenier | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…59a6backed Jurij Rodionov | 58c | 22.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thionville: Jurij Rodionov vs Hugo Grenierthis page
- Rodionov vs. Grenier: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.