Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae209831ec7538fa94747f386e2dc4d975cd8e838178f298050e2db75ec75197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 1,450$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.27 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 40c | 1,239$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 43c | 1,118$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.74 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed No | 54c | 1,065$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 58c | 1,042$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.76 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 52c | 895.77$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 47c | 533$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed No | 53c | 531$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 346.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.25 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 330.14$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 237.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 42c | 237.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 53c | 189.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 166.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 54c | 155$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 49c | 153.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 47c | 116.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 108.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 58c | 88.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 59.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 47c | 43.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…8e06backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…4c48backed Yes | 39c | 38.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…59a6backed Yes | 48c | 32.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.