Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x863bd65ad6fce154da9021877b2dd7eddd26ffe3973d6972578b4a539f8c621a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 3,080$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.1 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 2,016$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.3 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 44c | 1,954$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.24 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 26c | 1,600$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 31c | 1,338$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 65c | 1,036$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.59 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 36c | 1,007$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Over | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 22c | 888.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.07 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 34c | 882$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 777.8$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.13 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 64c | 775.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 38c | 725.65$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.75 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 53c | 597.05$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.16 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 50c | 559.5$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.75 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 40c | 554.73$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 66c | 537.65$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 462.9$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.63 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 59c | 388.14$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Over | 26c | 378.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 80c | 358.12$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 354.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…e7efbacked Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 62c | 292.65$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 37c | 283.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over | 54c | 282.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 52c | 244.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 25c | 199.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 197.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…f6e4backed Under | 79c | 178.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 55c | 154.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 11c | 135.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…1b40backed Over | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 63c | 96.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 62c | 91.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Over | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 38c | 74.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 63c | 71.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 61.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 33c | 59.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…9e49backed Under | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Under | 65c | 54.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 38c | 52.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…0b61backed Over | 43c | 50.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 65c | 45.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6525…c12cbacked Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 38c | 37.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bb…d19dbacked Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 61c | 34.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 36c | 29.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 28.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 64c | 18.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.