Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x396f85d756692deeefa106e3009bbce491761bf1ecc9328e8763317036df39f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 15,678$5,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,504.62 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 63c | 10,190$6,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.15 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Over | 66c | 4,464$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.75 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 3,779$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.46 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over | 64c | 3,229$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 36c | 1,297$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.95 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Over | 74c | 1,292$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 520.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 499.69$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.05 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 37c | 464.86$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 65c | 384$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 36c | 361.47$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 37c | 211.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 34c | 179.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Over | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 36c | 128.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 42c | 118.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…6dc2backed Under | 38c | 108$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 64c | 73.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 33c | 59.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 27c | 56.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…22d6backed Over | 64c | 55.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 37c | 52.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 37c | 52.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 45.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 35c | 44.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 62c | 39.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 60c | 37.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…f1adbacked Over | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 67c | 34.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 36c | 31.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…2646backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.