Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4b56aa9177bd678f8bd919e2d7c009b309db213786a198a7c5534338db74f8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $542,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $777,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 56c | 144,103$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,103.11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 51,682$24,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,338.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 35,038$15,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,468.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 29,468$13,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,315.51 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…c521backed Yes | 55c | 27,466$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,465.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 24,865$11,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,162.59 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 54c | 18,101$9,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.77 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked No | 46c | 16,500$7,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,589.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 13,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 46c | 11,793$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,424.58 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed No | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 44c | 9,052$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.75 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 45c | 9,039$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.52 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.95 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 55c | 3,102$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 45c | 2,816$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.22 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 54c | 2,190$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.37 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 47c | 2,015$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…9908backed Yes | 54c | 1,475$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…e9c5backed Yes | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 1,267$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.24 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 53c | 1,234$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.17 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 45c | 1,164$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.81 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Yes | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 55c | 1,086$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.93 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 1,029$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.02 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked No | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 54c | 933.33$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.33 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…36cfbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…add5backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Yes | 54c | 914.09$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 55c | 909.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.17 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Yes | 54c | 892.87$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Yes | 57c | 883.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed No | 47c | 855.32$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…ec12backed No | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 54c | 819.11$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.11 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…6623backed Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 793.1$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.22 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d7…fa62backed Yes | 54c | 790$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…f595backed Yes | 59c | 740.29$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…18c3backed No | 47c | 740$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…0f2dbacked No | 45c | 667.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 54c | 661.11$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.11 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 52c | 639.14$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.92 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 595.31$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.37 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 46c | 546$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.24 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 56c | 538.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.13 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 54c | 533.28$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.31 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…fdadbacked Yes | 54c | 516.21$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.21 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 58c | 513.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.55 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 55c | 513$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.7 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Yes | 54c | 500.02$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 54c | 414.81$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.81 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Yes | 49c | 408.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.34 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 52c | 402.55$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.86 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ec…ae94backed Yes | 54c | 377$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 54c | 371.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…e7b6backed Yes | 54c | 357.41$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.41 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…1cd1backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…3613backed Yes | 54c | 328.56$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…0ddebacked Yes | 54c | 323.06$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.61 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 309.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 47c | 308.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes | 54c | 305.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Yes | 53c | 302.15$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73b…9766backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 45c | 278.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 50c | 275.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 54c | 260$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 58c | 251$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…4ef4backed Yes | 55c | 247.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 54c | 238.89$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 46c | 222$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 51c | 218.92$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…7b3ebacked Yes | 55c | 216.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 45c | 212.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 54c | 205.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.