Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42278fa533f48cc96f641826e0a07d1904ebde081616b0fdcd24199b6be6b1a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 12,060$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 80c | 7,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 7,213$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.51 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 20c | 5,159$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.9 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 19c | 4,613$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.48 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…f0aabacked Over | 78c | 3,990$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Over | 74c | 3,650$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 2,244$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.26 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 1,313$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.98 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 19c | 1,098$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.92 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Under | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 29c | 795.27$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Over | 79c | 632.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 72c | 625$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Over | 79c | 531.03$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 80c | 475$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 76c | 460.19$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 75c | 395.12$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…69cabacked Over | 80c | 377.46$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…4487backed Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…2917backed Over | 79c | 313.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked Over | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 73c | 295.62$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ea76backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 80c | 248.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 80c | 236.76$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Under | 27c | 223.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 74c | 220$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 21c | 217.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Over | 73c | 198.63$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 197.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 21c | 196.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 20c | 174.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 27c | 171.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 10c | 152.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…5a05backed Under | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 72c | 139.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dd…8933backed Over | 73c | 138.15$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Over | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…a9dcbacked Over | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…94aebacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Over | 80c | 111.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 73cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 80c | 108.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…4e55backed Over | 74c | 101.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 80c | 93.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 15c | 69.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over | 72c | 60.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…af80backed Over | 80c | 52.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Under | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…7353backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc7…6371backed Under | 29c | 36.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…bfacbacked Over | 80c | 35.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…fac4backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…d63bbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 79c | 22.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 79c | 21.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28b…dd3ebacked Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…4368backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…4a14backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ba…275ebacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…4fc5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…e944backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.