Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70d69921231e21e36b4a7b96695e2e0ddc9bbf68ffb56cc9edad330bb20d4671

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $164,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $188,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,703 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x56a8…3639backed Over	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	34c	8,289$2,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,818.28	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under	56c	7,370$4,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,262.28	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.7wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	44c	6,001$2,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,657.38	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	64c	5,876$3,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,097.61	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over	35c	5,084$1,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,769.92	282	42.2%119 W · 163 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	65c	5,006$3,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,744.03	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	65c	4,209$2,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,463.59	192	53.1%102 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over	34c	4,119$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417.13	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Under	67c	3,750$2,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,237.5	141	66.7%94 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over	32c	3,035$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over	35c	2,998$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.15	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over	35c	2,573$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.4	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	43c	2,530$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.75	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Under	41c	2,454$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,453.76	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	52c	2,211$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,061.15	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	78c	2,130$1,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.35	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Under	67c	2,090$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.55	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+5.8wins	+0.25per pick	53cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	65c	1,900$1,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Over	35c	1,483$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.29	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	63cpaid	-42%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over	35c	1,429$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	155	60%93 W · 62 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over	50c	1,376$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.38	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99cd…36cfbacked Over	61c	1,344$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under	62c	1,324$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.34	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	57c	1,178$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.59	432	41.9%181 W · 251 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over	36c	1,116$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-11.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	35c	1,097$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over	43c	1,083$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.56	346	28.6%99 W · 247 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over	7c	1,065$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.24	170	48.8%83 W · 87 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over	31c	1,049$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.76	133	27.1%36 W · 97 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over	35c	1,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Over	49c	999.99$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	65cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	33c	999.97$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.99	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over	32c	994$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.08	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over	33c	970.65$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.49	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over	41c	860.98$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under	67c	859$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.47	108	38.9%42 W · 66 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Over	17c	856.99$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.53	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under	12c	833$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$733.04	49	14.3%7 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+76.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over	61c	828.41$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.85	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	33c	745.99$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.18	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over	32c	718.75$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over	34c	680.06$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.22	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Under	54c	600.99$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.99	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over	36c	599.99$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Over	34c	588.24$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over	35c	571.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under	41c	524.39$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.39	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	63c	514.99$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.78	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over	34c	500$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	200	40.5%81 W · 119 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…cc36backed Under	10c	500$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc461…83dbbacked Under	10c	500$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	9cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc934…5551backed Under	10c	499.99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+150%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	34c	469.54$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.64	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	35c	429.4$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over	60c	414.31$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.16	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	61c	405.54$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.66	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	45c	395.3$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.92	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over	38c	392.86$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	34c	387$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.58	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Over	34c	379.21$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.93	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under	66c	379.21$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.93	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	40c	375$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over	34c	354.91$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.67	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…eaecbacked Over	34c	352.94$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over	48c	324.92$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.96	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Under	63c	317.46$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.46	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under	10c	300$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under	10c	300$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58ba…1ae8backed Under	64c	291$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.36	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Over	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under	67c	269.03$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.78	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	66c	242.99$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.62	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Over	58c	240$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.2	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3a…99febacked Under	43c	229.7$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.93	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under	55c	217.44$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.44	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over	65c	215.38$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	61c	213.72$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.72	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Under	60c	204$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.6	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-10%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-7.3wins	-0.11per pick	64cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Under	64c	200$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Under	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+4.4wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+33%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over	40c	199.14$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.87	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbaf…842ebacked Over	62c	193.55$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	51c	182.57$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.46	318	49.1%156 W · 162 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under	67c	174.98$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.77	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	68c	171.48$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.28	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under	68c	170$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.4	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed Under	63c	159.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.21	25	84%21 W · 4 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	71cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Over	33c	152.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.48	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1828…6946backed Over	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under	52c	150$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Under	66c	149.96$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.99	41	70.7%29 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	228	32.9%75 W · 153 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5this page
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event