Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbad6abc587fe93c8b5a032ca6e404afbaa0312cd2c000701020e437faf53985f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chelsea FCof Arsenal FC, Chelsea FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 26,790$10,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,197.83 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC | 62c | 18,758$11,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,195.19 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Chelsea FC | 62c | 16,129$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.03 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 13,933$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,294.45 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Chelsea FC | 62c | 10,000$6,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chelsea FC | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 8,525$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.75 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 6,875$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.6 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Chelsea FC | 49c | 5,009$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.66 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Arsenal FC | 47c | 4,499$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.61 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Chelsea FC | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c495backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Arsenal FC | 23c | 2,504$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.78 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Chelsea FC | 61c | 2,372$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chelsea FC | 61c | 2,184$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.04 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…d6c1backed Chelsea FC | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC | 77c | 1,472$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 1,400$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Chelsea FC | 66c | 1,337$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed Chelsea FC | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Arsenal FC | 35c | 776.94$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Chelsea FC | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…6dc2backed Arsenal FC | 36c | 635$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chelsea FC | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 512$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arsenal FC | 44c | 507.35$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 459.4$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Arsenal FC | 47c | 364.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Arsenal FC | 34c | 317$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arsenal FC | 34c | 302.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Arsenal FC | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 299.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 285.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Chelsea FC | 47c | 268.3$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc76c…7d8bbacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…09f6backed Chelsea FC | 65c | 235.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Chelsea FC | 62c | 228.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Chelsea FC | 63c | 207$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…a53dbacked Chelsea FC | 67c | 205$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Chelsea FC | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Arsenal FC | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Arsenal FC | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a0abbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…cf5abacked Chelsea FC | 61c | 181.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arsenal FC | 18c | 171.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Chelsea FC | 51c | 171.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Chelsea FC | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…8491backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 157$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc59…df13backed Chelsea FC | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…6ce0backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 155$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 147.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 146.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chelsea FC | 65c | 140.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 139.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Arsenal FC | 35c | 121.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Chelsea FC | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 118.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a66…9e92backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 112$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…8a25backed Chelsea FC | 77c | 111.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Arsenal FC | 21c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Arsenal FC | 36c | 107$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…c94cbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 106.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…eb6ebacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 102.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Chelsea FC | 50c | 100.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Chelsea FC | 67c | 98.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Arsenal FC | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Chelsea FC | 61c | 95.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…602cbacked Chelsea FC | 62c | 89.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…075dbacked Chelsea FC | 50c | 89.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…a584backed Chelsea FC | 49c | 88.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Chelsea FC | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Chelsea FC | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Chelsea FC | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Arsenal FC | 36c | 72.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Chelsea FC | 63c | 69.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Chelsea FC | 61c | 69.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Arsenal FC | 30c | 68.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Arsenal FC | 43c | 67.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…fa37backed Chelsea FC | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf7…ed48backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Chelsea FC | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chelsea FC | 75c | 61.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Chelsea FC | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…590cbacked Chelsea FC | 62c | 59.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…d9afbacked Chelsea FC | 63c | 58.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 58.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.