TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77e5…7b3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT5261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.23
Barcelona Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Sarah Rakotomanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.04
Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Topo (+1.5)backed Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$45.23
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Michelsenbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.4
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Rusebacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.4
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$42.97
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$10.75
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.88
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.4
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.55
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Francesco Maestrelli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.88
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.82
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.23
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Grand Prix Hassan II: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Van Asschebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.85
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$27.26
Bucharest Open: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+115%+$22.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.48
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+139.6%+$75.89
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130.93
Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+87.2%+$30.81
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$97.49
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$13.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$17.15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$196.46
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+122.4%+$92.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+91.5%+$23.78
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+70.8%+$21.25
All 23 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+104.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.41
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+308.6%+$214.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31.99
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.