Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42af286d5e439c1a162b28a02c58ca767e9bf802087abf01da146e98c5abf6a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,964 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 48c | 3,069$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.86 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 52c | 2,656$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.92 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 2,608$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,414$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 70c | 2,289$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.91 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 46c | 523.69$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.69 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 48c | 515.87$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.25 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1f9cbacked Yes | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…7447backed Yes | 55c | 345$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 55c | 318.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 266.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 38c | 263.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 32c | 244.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 52c | 164$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 158.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 45c | 154.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 148.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Yes | 52c | 147.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 135.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 48c | 115.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 113.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 53c | 112.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 96.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 93.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 35c | 70.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…6371backed Yes | 54c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 41c | 61.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 52c | 56.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed Yes | 54c | 48.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…67d0backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…7b3ebacked Yes | 54c | 34.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 28.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 52c | 25.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.