Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaae7173cbafaf4b29c174fdbc536bf1258846af6b096aaa3f09fd3bd685f14d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,977 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0792…b778backed Under	53c	8,396$4,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,946.22	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Under	52c	6,504$3,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,120.75	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	48c	4,800$2,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,281	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	47c	3,633$1,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,701.38	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	47c	2,694$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.06	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under	54c	1,851$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.36	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under	54c	1,112$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.87	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	24c	1,105$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.6	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	27c	999.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	192	35.9%69 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	47c	872.34$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Under	54c	866.33$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.33	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	+28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over	47c	845.64$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.45	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over	46c	832.74$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.06	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Over	49c	819.26$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	49c	817.67$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	157	57.3%90 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	51c	813.6$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.66	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Under	43c	695.96$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.7	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Over	10c	333$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.88	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	52c	297.57$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.49	1,208	42.2%510 W · 698 L	-27.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Over	19c	294$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.86	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over	47c	287.23$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	21c	264.32$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.29	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	44c	237.39$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.45	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	47c	234.04$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	321	64.5%207 W · 114 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under	53c	228.97$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.26	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	51c	228.62$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.02	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Over	44c	210$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.7	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over	38c	195$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.1	131	32.1%42 W · 89 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6275…4e76backed Under	54c	185.2$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over	49c	184$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.16	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over	12c	168.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-5.7wins	-0.21per pick	58cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over	42c	154.76$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over	48c	125$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	182	65.9%120 W · 62 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under	53c	122.49$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.57	351	57.8%203 W · 148 L	+18.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over	44c	121.29$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.37	191	45%86 W · 105 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Over	48c	117.9$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.62	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over	47c	106.95$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.76	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	47c	104.27$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.01	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	362	59.1%214 W · 148 L	+23.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	596	45.5%271 W · 325 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	53c	93.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.15	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under	53c	90$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.3	323	57.6%186 W · 137 L	+17.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Under	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over	44c	77.78$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.22	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under	53c	75$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.25	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over	41c	72.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	98	58.2%57 W · 41 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	269	58.4%157 W · 112 L	+13.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	367	58.3%214 W · 153 L	+23.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa439…5802backed Over	49c	51.18$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.08	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under	53c	50.65$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.81	283	59.4%168 W · 115 L	+16.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over	25c	49.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	85	16.5%14 W · 71 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	52c	49.4$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.46	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	24c	44.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over	47c	42.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	221	56.1%124 W · 97 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Over	40c	40.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.25	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Over	48c	38.64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.38	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over	34c	35.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	51c	32.9$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.12	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over	48c	31.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	296	44.6%132 W · 164 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	47c	26.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under	58c	25.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under	53c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	228	58.8%134 W · 94 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under	53c	24.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	269	59.9%161 W · 108 L	+13.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under	53c	24.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.74	255	53.7%137 W · 118 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Over	47c	22.66$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Over	47c	22.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-6.5wins	-0.28per pick	54cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over	49c	21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	205	56.6%116 W · 89 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event