TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6275…4e76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$49.73
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$10.92
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$41.25
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.67
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$28.9
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$42.96
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$38.05
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.01
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$25.5
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$20.17
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+101.3%+$30.2
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+132.6%+$18.82
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$15.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$64.02
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+203%+$26.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.55
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.01
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.77
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.55
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+146.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+195.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$94.39
San Francisco Dons vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$8.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$29.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$86.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.