TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SPARTAof ASTRAL, SPARTA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82d2…beeabacked ASTRAL30c7,914$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.751,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked SPARTA75c3,991$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.5227452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL27c3,690$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.275,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0e…995cbacked ASTRAL25c3,408$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb03a…ceddbacked ASTRAL31c3,158$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.525442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed ASTRAL30c3,079$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.128046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SPARTA72c3,030$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.451,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked SPARTA73c2,610$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.483,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed SPARTA69c2,355$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.8516653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ASTRAL23c1,737$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.221,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked ASTRAL28c1,600$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.4627530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked SPARTA77c1,588$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.822462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df4…8ca6backed ASTRAL26c1,350$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA75c1,001$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.265,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked ASTRAL35c925$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.752,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed ASTRAL28c900$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25254032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked ASTRAL23c875$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.251,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed ASTRAL28c841.82$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8287244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed ASTRAL7c817.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.91205%1 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-84.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed SPARTA70c740.29$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0922142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked ASTRAL22c653$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6614839.2%58 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed SPARTA68c609.13$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5311543.5%50 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d7c…832dbacked SPARTA75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6865…b323backed SPARTA75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked SPARTA68c575.23$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.26243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0845…e9ebbacked SPARTA74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed SPARTA71c485.61$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2520944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ASTRAL28c432.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.184,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed ASTRAL23c432.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6346243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…8c61backed ASTRAL24c421.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed SPARTA70c403.4$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.141,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed ASTRAL25c400.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005937.3%22 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9997…97b5backed SPARTA74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc7…0456backed SPARTA75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685f…c82fbacked SPARTA75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e7…c5c9backed SPARTA75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked SPARTA70c396.08$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4513053.8%70 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37d…c735backed ASTRAL30c389.82$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.956253.2%33 W · 29 L+9.5wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+172.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL27c368.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.546,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed ASTRAL24c359.42$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.269646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed SPARTA76c301$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.784,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f86…4b75backed SPARTA74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…7713backed SPARTA75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d5…1210backed SPARTA76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ff…2df7backed ASTRAL10c257.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.681330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x830b…acc2backed SPARTA75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked SPARTA67c246.27$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2754348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked ASTRAL22c243.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7370038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked ASTRAL28c217.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9317659.7%105 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed SPARTA70c201.43$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4317847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked ASTRAL25c201.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.627935.4%28 W · 51 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb3e…1c41backed ASTRAL27c199$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed SPARTA77c197.16$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1621867%146 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ASTRAL33c190.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.023,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed SPARTA74c169.47$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6721460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed SPARTA72c162.97$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.631,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7701…34debacked ASTRAL20c154.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.32520%5 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed SPARTA73c154.64$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7532845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed ASTRAL28c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2521723%50 W · 167 L-35.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-61.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xc491…61f7backed SPARTA74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb6…3804backed SPARTA74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed SPARTA67c148.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7512351.2%63 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed ASTRAL28c148.68$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3431735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed ASTRAL31c140.23$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.473534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa616…203ebacked ASTRAL26c135.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed ASTRAL12c117.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.535034%17 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed SPARTA74c112.68$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.229840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked SPARTA70c111.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.992,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked SPARTA70c101$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.31,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e0…b9e2backed ASTRAL34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341010%1 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-78.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed ASTRAL28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9840%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed ASTRAL22c86.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.182,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x566b…bcbbbacked SPARTA69c83.59$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.774100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked SPARTA74c83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.732,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff0b…3b13backed SPARTA73c78$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f1…847fbacked ASTRAL26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd572…5510backed ASTRAL24c74.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked ASTRAL29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.295642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed ASTRAL24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked ASTRAL20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211830.5%36 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed SPARTA75c59.52$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.126648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5358…44e8backed ASTRAL28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155630.4%17 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb4b…86ddbacked ASTRAL21c52.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed SPARTA73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56055%33 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed SPARTA73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6740247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed ASTRAL24c46.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.131532.4%102 W · 213 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d3e…a977backed SPARTA72c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x702f…1d50backed SPARTA72c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf10…557ebacked ASTRAL28c44.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked ASTRAL27c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3432447.2%153 W · 171 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf601…57a2backed ASTRAL26c41.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa288…401cbacked SPARTA73c40.49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.132458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b8…180bbacked ASTRAL28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked SPARTA75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.336264.5%40 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed SPARTA70c31.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4819935.7%71 W · 128 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9607…9144backed SPARTA73c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82be…75abbacked SPARTA80c30.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d6c…02b5backed SPARTA74c26.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.973470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked SPARTA75c26.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.73259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed SPARTA75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.677569.3%52 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.