TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$607,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,531 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe57c…018fbacked Under49c19,655$9,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,024.05875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3181…18ddbacked Under49c19,528$9,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,959.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89f0…c552backed Under49c19,510$9,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,950.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+69.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aee…cd72backed Under49c18,730$9,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,552.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+76.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9477…5cf3backed Over51c18,685$9,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,529.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9713…7c4dbacked Over51c18,044$9,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,202.44875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9fb…80e3backed Under49c17,866$8,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,111.664100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x653e…9b83backed Under49c17,459$8,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,904.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb000…9e48backed Over51c17,049$8,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,694.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3181…0638backed Under49c17,031$8,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,685.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde03…01bebacked Under49c16,931$8,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,634.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ac…47cbbacked Under49c16,181$7,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,252.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x316d…c414backed Under49c15,178$7,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,740.78875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe483…12cdbacked Over51c14,306$7,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,296.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b6…3eeebacked Over51c14,196$7,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,239.963046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d6…bcccbacked Under49c13,942$6,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,110.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+65%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf29c…5ba0backed Under49c13,843$6,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,059.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e84…9809backed Over51c13,088$6,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,674.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b9…25f3backed Over51c12,449$6,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,348.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Under48c11,900$5,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1881553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb760…c794backed Over51c11,736$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafff…49c8backed Under49c11,461$5,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,845.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5304…b2b9backed Under49c11,365$5,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,796.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b1…0105backed Under49c11,056$5,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe96a…437bbacked Under49c10,798$5,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,506.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Under48c10,523$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,523.068838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe12…45bcbacked Under49c10,434$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,321.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7857…3268backed Under49c10,359$5,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,283.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2458…bd5cbacked Over51c10,298$5,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,251.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+66%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9711…997fbacked Under49c10,232$5,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,218.325100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x251d…e352backed Over51c10,162$5,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,182.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5da…c830backed Over51c10,161$5,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,182.11580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+66.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c82…583cbacked Over51c9,943$5,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,070.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf466…465fbacked Over51c9,845$5,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,020.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f84…add3backed Under49c9,844$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,020.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3f…fdd5backed Under49c9,767$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,981.175100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7506…c202backed Over51c9,596$4,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,893.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5733…f044backed Under49c9,346$4,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,766.465100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5574…fd49backed Under49c9,324$4,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,755.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80a0…21cdbacked Over51c9,284$4,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,734.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaa8…20a0backed Over51c9,090$4,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,635.91566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85f3…df1cbacked Over51c9,049$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02c0…faa4backed Over51c9,041$4,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,610.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7c…9830backed Over51c8,638$4,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,405.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf15e…cd10backed Over51c8,580$4,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,375.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd855…7b98backed Under49c8,366$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,266.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d1…0139backed Over52c8,252$4,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,291.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985b…528ebacked Under49c8,200$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1827100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8ba…17bdbacked Over51c8,153$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,158.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c7…e0c7backed Under49c8,047$3,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,103.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25ad…0214backed Over51c8,045$4,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,102.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7576…cb8abacked Under49c7,777$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,966.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x322e…b7cdbacked Under49c7,613$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,882.63875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e7d…dfa4backed Over51c7,414$3,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.14955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e13…cb2fbacked Under49c7,337$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,741.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61c1…9fa7backed Under49c7,234$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,689.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa504…80e7backed Over51c7,222$3,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,683.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6a…f579backed Over51c7,063$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5753…5c69backed Over51c6,814$3,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,475.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc460…f994backed Over51c6,692$3,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x719b…0b07backed Under49c6,635$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+71.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c42…9865backed Over51c6,498$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb74…1041backed Over51c6,404$3,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…cefbbacked Over51c6,162$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4081…0407backed Over51c6,009$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51b…1e38backed Under49c6,002$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+65%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…dfd6backed Over51c5,879$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44e9…04b7backed Under49c5,806$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad9…91d5backed Over51c5,719$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7cf…41eabacked Over51c5,598$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0f…e305backed Over51c5,539$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b6…afbdbacked Under49c5,443$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6099…723cbacked Under49c5,441$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bde…75debacked Over51c5,261$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,683.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf86…d85bbacked Over51c5,172$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…51e7backed Over51c5,137$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5857…ad5abacked Over51c4,980$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe108…41bfbacked Over51c4,963$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+66%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d8…1927backed Over51c4,951$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,525.011070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c4,932$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986f…bbcbbacked Over51c4,845$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ffc…cc4cbacked Over51c4,810$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a1…f371backed Over51c4,806$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.06650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5f…7007backed Over51c4,707$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f56…a757backed Under49c4,646$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6da…8286backed Under49c4,595$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d1…0253backed Over51c4,535$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5713…4540backed Over51c4,523$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd77c…6630backed Under49c4,510$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a54…d7c6backed Under49c4,380$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c7…755dbacked Over51c4,337$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2ad…8196backed Over51c4,302$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.021060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x498b…50c5backed Over51c4,286$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba98…80b0backed Under49c4,247$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.97966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bc8…3b50backed Under49c4,210$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20aa…46edbacked Under49c4,145$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…4b25backed Over51c4,070$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.7450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1eb…e8c5backed Under49c4,070$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.7875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc63a…0f03backed Under49c4,055$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44db…14aabacked Over51c4,027$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.