NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb578bc7df1d13fe7d9b5bee3b63f08bacb6bb774cdbb7107ace88ac0414dfd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,826 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07e2…0e20backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…55d2backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…a2cabacked Under | 48c | 4,176$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4319…fa97backed Under | 48c | 3,726$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ef…cb02backed Over | 52c | 3,655$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…8a71backed Under | 46c | 3,522$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…d9c4backed Over | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.85 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6a…fe45backed Over | 52c | 3,321$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 49c | 2,991$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.02 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…5f31backed Under | 48c | 2,951$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf286…666ebacked Over | 52c | 2,889$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5f60backed Under | 48c | 2,822$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd007…5109backed Under | 48c | 2,703$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…8b3bbacked Under | 48c | 2,657$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…f066backed Over | 52c | 2,491$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495a…70bebacked Over | 52c | 2,471$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6a…0f6ebacked Under | 48c | 2,456$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6577…da8ebacked Under | 48c | 2,366$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…4b9dbacked Over | 52c | 2,257$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0eb…6719backed Over | 52c | 2,095$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0b22backed Over | 52c | 1,966$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f3…019cbacked Under | 48c | 1,966$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80d…1a41backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…73a5backed Over | 52c | 1,894$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…cd00backed Over | 52c | 1,892$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…1a5abacked Under | 48c | 1,885$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…b31dbacked Over | 54c | 1,877$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ca…1841backed Over | 52c | 1,872$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…d23cbacked Over | 52c | 1,778$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…7dddbacked Under | 48c | 1,755$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…9e28backed Under | 48c | 1,711$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…6f75backed Under | 48c | 1,677$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb92…3c70backed Under | 48c | 1,655$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1bdabacked Under | 48c | 1,608$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,524$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…e205backed Under | 48c | 1,512$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…18acbacked Under | 48c | 1,502$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 52c | 1,485$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.2 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 52c | 1,471$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c1…1e9cbacked Under | 48c | 1,469$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2f…1292backed Over | 52c | 1,344$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe304…70abbacked Under | 48c | 1,267$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…5c66backed Over | 52c | 1,258$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…71d0backed Over | 52c | 1,237$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 48c | 1,203$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.47 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,201$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.28 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 52c | 1,068$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.18 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e9…5bc5backed Under | 48c | 1,022$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 48c | 977.34$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.04 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…cef8backed Over | 54c | 903$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 49c | 899.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 890.76$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…85d9backed Over | 52c | 888$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…2edfbacked Under | 48c | 771$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…eb59backed Over | 54c | 742$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd114…1160backed Under | 48c | 677$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 54c | 559.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 47c | 519.69$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.44 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…e04fbacked Under | 48c | 515.97$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedc7…cabbbacked Over | 52c | 511$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Under | 48c | 498.13$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.03 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 385.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…901cbacked Under | 48c | 344$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d6…37e2backed Over | 53c | 330.05$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…8208backed Over | 52c | 326.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 51c | 313.6$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b0…27a4backed Under | 48c | 312$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…f554backed Over | 52c | 312$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 298.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 257.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 56c | 212.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 199.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 189$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 50c | 165$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 160.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 153$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Under | 46c | 151.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fc…3b74backed Over | 54c | 140.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 47c | 129$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 46c | 128.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 121.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Under | 48c | 114.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 48c | 112.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 76c | 105.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 46c | 92.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 47c | 92.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 44c | 90.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 63.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.