TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,739 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c7,331$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.454,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over0c6,025$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c4,484$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.054,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over54c4,322$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.5874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c3,729$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…f715backed Over37c3,314$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c2,959$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under56c2,200$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.851,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under63c2,101$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Under43c2,060$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.4711156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c1,508$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.651,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under42c1,063$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.1223348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c1,018$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.092,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over26c988.91$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2822140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over3c950.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under54c886.72$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.891,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c773.45$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.344,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c573$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.6940146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under54c565$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.91,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under55c553$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.382,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under66c546.57$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.867154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over58c517.65$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Under43c483$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.7911229.5%33 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c439$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.061,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c340.76$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.152,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over37c319.14$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.869654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under75c304.69$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x060c…7d36backed Over52c286.54$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under63c274.41$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.751,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…abd3backed Over59c254.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f6…b176backed Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-67%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Over55c240$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.921770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under67c236.29$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over30c235.71$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.713,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.833258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over52c193.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9914248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under59c180.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb8e…962bbacked Over59c169.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Over49c160$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.814042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Under70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under59c142.46$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.871,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over44c133.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.052,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under44c125.49$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7415752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under70c117.82$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.353,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over27c115.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5211128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over28c108.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30300%0 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c105.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.745,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under76c103.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1119166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over50c100.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4f…77e9backed Under43c96.32$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under43c93.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2433730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6242…c0d1backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f5e…da72backed Over58c86.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Over59c84.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011242.9%48 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over59c81.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483641.7%15 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Over31c80.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over52c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.24468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over35c75.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.371,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976b…cf45backed Under80c71.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.391376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over59c67.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over41c66.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under52c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5246940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over56c61.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2414471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under47c59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2746447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over54c58.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.248255%265 W · 217 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under75c52.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.961,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over55c51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2831955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc332…118fbacked Over59c50.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302650%13 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2869337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2716141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c45.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.762,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under61c43.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8736154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over25c42.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.718835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under63c42.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3852053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5622044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over57c37.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2534851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdadd…a12dbacked Under42c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.467150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under46c36.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8937842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab2…9cfabacked Over49c36.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under54c35.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4487744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under80c34.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over59c30.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9728536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Under70c29.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.824254.8%23 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c28.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.413,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Under51c25.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.516553.8%35 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under46c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under77c21.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9725655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under77c21.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9730151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd0c…282cbacked Under71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.84845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb555…33c6backed Over58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.582040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3424…8c8fbacked Over58c19.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d3…3667backed Over58c18.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116552.3%34 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over53c18.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfb…5988backed Over58c18.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.485242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.