TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,794 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c11,660$5,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,904.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under49c10,523$5,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,366.861,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1276…eb59backed Over49c4,388$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under51c3,968$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.3723348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…f554backed Under52c3,722$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7449…d3aebacked Under52c3,434$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2add…afbfbacked Under52c3,185$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd953…1ec4backed Over48c3,155$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf0…9fb1backed Under52c3,131$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e75…0609backed Under52c3,012$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c2,986$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.2421653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6d…5434backed Under52c2,980$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5848…8ff3backed Over48c2,976$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf99…d1c5backed Over48c2,958$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974e…f51fbacked Under52c2,894$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9c…c9aabacked Over48c2,812$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f9c…397cbacked Over48c2,804$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f3…7271backed Over48c2,747$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634e…42f8backed Over48c2,736$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5423…6d87backed Over48c2,725$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c51…80b6backed Over48c2,722$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdf…d99dbacked Over48c2,714$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1723…880bbacked Under52c2,682$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02af…02dabacked Over48c2,645$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3756…6910backed Under52c2,643$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a6a…0f6ebacked Over48c2,599$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fee…91e9backed Under52c2,571$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa867…ce0ebacked Under52c2,544$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eee…44d0backed Under52c2,505$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c2,485$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7b…4213backed Under52c2,458$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe997…9dbbbacked Over48c2,366$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb033…87f7backed Over48c2,366$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1f3…3fa3backed Under52c2,358$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c2,341$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.041,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x365d…bac1backed Over48c2,222$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0387…e1b4backed Over48c2,200$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa1a…c00fbacked Under52c2,128$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c41…f066backed Under52c2,088$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x833c…f912backed Over48c2,020$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a25…4b9dbacked Under52c2,012$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2a…85efbacked Under52c2,008$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa062…6f69backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…1a5abacked Over48c1,969$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8640…a16abacked Under52c1,967$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af5…9522backed Over48c1,895$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc293…cd00backed Over48c1,877$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…dde7backed Under52c1,876$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b94…73a5backed Over48c1,856$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb854…644fbacked Under52c1,822$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f21…b31dbacked Under51c1,815$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…639cbacked Over48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02f9…7dddbacked Under52c1,732$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…e991backed Over48c1,720$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ca…1841backed Under52c1,702$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf5a…b5b9backed Under52c1,698$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1bdabacked Over48c1,696$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50a9…4c50backed Under52c1,688$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95de…18acbacked Over48c1,596$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over50c1,530$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.4714245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…8a71backed Under51c1,416$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a8…cef8backed Under51c1,157$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under52c1,059$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.1311242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c714$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.156,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c524.2$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.112,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under50c465$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Under51c433.62$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6122846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c357.42$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.044,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1f…e205backed Under52c337$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Under51c294.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.74854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968f…5129backed Over49c285.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.981030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e95…7db1backed Over49c280.84$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.611435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c279.7$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.332,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c279.45$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…5ca7backed Over49c220.5$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.051735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under79c180.71$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over46c170.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6615543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over28c164.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.811,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a8…b182backed Under68c154.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.786152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c144.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8564651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Over22c141.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.429242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over51c135$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8523946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over31c120.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.263,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over29c119.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.959650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under51c94.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9115752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under50c83.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8914046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under52c83.85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3376552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c80.86$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.773,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Under53c57.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.815151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over26c55.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.223,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under49c49.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0420144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Under78c34.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4610951.4%56 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf229…2f2bbacked Under53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under75c27.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9827747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cac…128ebacked Under51c27.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.