NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2285e88b8e91389a8cf706e909b01b7e0f4ae125ac96c85f7bdf41f8a5c1926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Rockets, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,327,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,327,601 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,555 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Rockets | 30c | 694,512$208,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,351.8 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 70c | 388,509$271,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,553.39 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Rockets | 30c | 228,908$68,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,670.49 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Nuggets | 71c | 211,226$149,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,255.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Nuggets | 69c | 162,378$111,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,999.1 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Rockets | 32c | 106,098$33,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,637.52 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 73c | 104,342$76,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,111.99 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets | 70c | 100,000$69,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,002.29 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nuggets | 70c | 69,999$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,999.84 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Rockets | 25c | 54,750$13,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,781.52 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Rockets | 30c | 51,432$15,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,493.67 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 30c | 50,306$15,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,004.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 70c | 50,032$34,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,239.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 73c | 46,921$34,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,537.94 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 29c | 42,888$12,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,437.53 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 71c | 41,007$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,007.09 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Nuggets | 70c | 40,511$28,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,153.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Nuggets | 72c | 37,098$26,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,276.2 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Rockets | 29c | 34,426$9,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,983.42 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 29c | 34,300$9,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,947 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Nuggets | 68c | 33,001$22,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,490.65 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Rockets | 32c | 33,000$10,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,489.93 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Rockets | 0c | 32,585$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 4c | 31,643$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Rockets | 37c | 30,000$11,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,022.54 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…a603backed Rockets | 25c | 28,408$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Nuggets | 70c | 23,745$16,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020.86 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 22c | 20,787$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.17 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Rockets | 26c | 19,000$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.98 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 76c | 18,750$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…14efbacked Rockets | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…0aa0backed Nuggets | 75c | 16,678$12,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 34c | 16,567$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,632.8 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…5c93backed Nuggets | 66c | 16,428$10,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,585.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Rockets | 31c | 16,020$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rockets | 29c | 15,520$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rockets | 7c | 15,295$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.53 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 32c | 15,107$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.72 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Nuggets | 66c | 15,000$9,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.33 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 72c | 14,560$10,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.14 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Nuggets | 70c | 14,483$10,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.08 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 73c | 14,228$10,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Rockets | 24c | 14,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Nuggets | 70c | 14,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.09 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…506dbacked Nuggets | 67c | 13,600$9,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.18 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Rockets | 33c | 13,600$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,487.96 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Rockets | 33c | 13,201$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…ab69backed Nuggets | 71c | 13,140$9,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Nuggets | 68c | 13,059$8,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234.99 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Nuggets | 70c | 11,893$8,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.68 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nuggets | 70c | 11,028$7,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.9 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Rockets | 32c | 10,934$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets | 4c | 10,808$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.38 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Rockets | 1c | 10,783$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Rockets | 1c | 10,400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Nuggets | 71c | 10,256$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.4 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nuggets | 69c | 10,060$6,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.32 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d15…1c7bbacked Rockets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Nuggets | 71c | 10,000$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.05 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Rockets | 4c | 9,880$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.2 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Nuggets | 69c | 9,590$6,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.57 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Rockets | 35c | 9,249$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.1 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets | 66c | 9,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Rockets | 15c | 8,963$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…7cb6backed Rockets | 31c | 8,100$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked Nuggets | 67c | 7,761$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.1 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Nuggets | 71c | 7,608$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.71 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Rockets | 27c | 7,464$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.57 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 30c | 7,456$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.49 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Nuggets | 65c | 7,018$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.25 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nuggets | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Rockets | 29c | 6,900$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.9 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 25c | 6,756$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nuggets | 70c | 6,746$4,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.63 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 31c | 6,598$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.97 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Nuggets | 70c | 6,498$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.19 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 70c | 6,370$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…4b14backed Rockets | 33c | 6,063$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.26 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Rockets | 29c | 6,000$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.74 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Rockets | 33c | 6,000$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.47 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Rockets | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Rockets | 24c | 6,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.97 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Nuggets | 73c | 5,903$4,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.86 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…1accbacked Rockets | 30c | 5,900$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Rockets | 34c | 5,806$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6067…5f66backed Rockets | 30c | 5,727$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7eeebacked Nuggets | 70c | 5,659$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Rockets | 33c | 5,638$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.8 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Rockets | 31c | 5,450$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.9 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 66c | 5,393$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.78 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Rockets | 31c | 5,234$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.12 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Nuggets | 67c | 5,224$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.06 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Rockets | 34c | 5,202$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.61 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…f13bbacked Rockets | 31c | 5,123$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.04 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed Rockets | 29c | 5,100$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Rockets | 16c | 5,000$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.8 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Rockets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nuggets | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.