NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x825d710f38fa529a1db1ba50c6ee1f6d0c23e3ca5055c02c72011feb2a916a9a

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Nuggets, Rockets
Resolved: Mar 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $396,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,502 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Rockets	52c	100,000$52,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,999.96	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Rockets	54c	93,333$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets	47c	82,424$38,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,900.74	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Rockets	52c	40,000$20,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,799.55	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Rockets	53c	35,583$18,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,857.05	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51c3…459fbacked Nuggets	48c	27,084$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,083.98	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	49cpaid	+46%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Nuggets	48c	23,708$11,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,328.41	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	15c	23,516$3,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,562.41	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	47c	22,462$10,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,931.95	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe708…e0fabacked Nuggets	48c	20,790$9,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,810.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets	47c	16,274$7,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,673.39	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Nuggets	48c	10,159$4,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,282.54	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Nuggets	48c	9,765$4,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,077.72	175	50.9%89 W · 86 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Rockets	53c	9,434$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	48c	9,326$4,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,839.11	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Rockets	50c	8,437$4,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,239.75	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets	50c	8,177$4,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,083.75	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0260…5f72backed Nuggets	48c	7,917$3,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,117.2	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Nuggets	49c	6,122$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,122.45	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+24%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Nuggets	48c	4,632$2,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,409.02	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cdb…9d70backed Rockets	51c	4,386$2,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,244.86	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…26f2backed Nuggets	49c	4,340$2,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,214.13	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+3.6wins	+0.32per pick	40cpaid	+118.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x41a8…cef8backed Nuggets	48c	4,336$2,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,254.72	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7125…23eebacked Nuggets	49c	4,178$2,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,139.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nuggets	49c	4,083$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,082.8	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Nuggets	48c	3,855$1,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,004.67	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets	47c	3,331$1,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,773.62	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Nuggets	48c	3,045$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,585.09	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets	47c	3,026$1,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.6	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets	53c	3,022$1,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,588.05	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Nuggets	51c	2,943$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,442.69	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets	53c	2,844$1,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,343.1	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Nuggets	48c	2,715$1,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,411.81	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Rockets	33c	2,564$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.3	103	42.7%44 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Rockets	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets	48c	2,188$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,137.5	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	48c	2,164$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.11	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Nuggets	48c	2,092$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.3	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Nuggets	48c	2,083$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.86	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Rockets	53c	1,890$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets	46c	1,885$875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010.46	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…8a71backed Rockets	52c	1,688$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.76	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets	52c	1,530$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.6	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f21…b31dbacked Rockets	52c	1,393$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.36	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1276…eb59backed Rockets	52c	1,255$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets	47c	1,229$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.16	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Rockets	54c	1,206$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Rockets	51c	1,200$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612	133	39.1%52 W · 81 L	-11.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Nuggets	48c	1,200$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Rockets	51c	1,138$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.42	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Rockets	54c	1,073$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.41	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets	48c	1,012$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.25	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Nuggets	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Nuggets	50c	900$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Nuggets	48c	900$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.08	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-10.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Nuggets	47c	763$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.39	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Nuggets	48c	700$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.7	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Rockets	52c	692.66$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357	184	48.9%90 W · 94 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Nuggets	48c	679.18$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.18	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets	55c	678.91$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.65	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…4c18backed Rockets	53c	629$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.37	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Nuggets	48c	626.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.3	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Nuggets	48c	626.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.3	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets	52c	573.65$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.59	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Nuggets	48c	562.5$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.5	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Rockets	52c	549$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.48	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Rockets	52c	539.54$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.56	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Rockets	53c	499.99$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.44	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Nuggets	51c	494.32$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.26	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Rockets	53c	491.9$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.79	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Rockets	53c	491.23$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.86	548	53.8%295 W · 253 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Rockets	51c	490$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.9	221	40.7%90 W · 131 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Rockets	52c	481.33$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Rockets	53c	471.55$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.63	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Nuggets	46c	432.48$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.54	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets	45c	421.99$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.09	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Rockets	14c	421.24$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.84	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76c3…4b14backed Rockets	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Rockets	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.92	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets	47c	399.07$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.65	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Rockets	50c	395.99$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets	47c	378.29$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.16	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d82…e16abacked Rockets	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	48cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets	49c	360.76$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.61	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets	52c	328$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.48	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Rockets	14c	320.05$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.81	256	55.5%142 W · 114 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets	48c	311.21$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.53	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Nuggets	48c	298$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.96	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Rockets	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3202…d07abacked Rockets	62c	241.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Rockets	52c	240$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.71	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Nuggets	48c	239$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.28	114	59.6%68 W · 46 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Nuggets	49c	235.57$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.21	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Rockets	53c	226.49$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc194…f69fbacked Rockets	14c	221.79$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.05	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets	48c	212.9$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.17	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Rockets	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.63	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Rockets	50c	198.1$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.66	161	47.2%76 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9252…6069backed Rockets	52c	192.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5No won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Rockets vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event