NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6e5b6f9cd9aa2ce84b98cc16a1efc849d8c5d9e893a2c56dfc6bedb5f262cf2

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Nuggets, Rockets
Resolved: Mar 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $180,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,209 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets	52c	20,000$10,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,601.9	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Rockets	47c	19,008$8,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,933.76	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	18c	18,205$3,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,363.63	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets	48c	15,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,200	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets	48c	10,750$5,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,153.4	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Rockets	48c	10,015$4,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,807.31	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Nuggets	52c	10,000$5,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800.77	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	51c	7,009$3,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,409.95	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets	53c	6,701$3,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,149.88	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Nuggets	53c	6,415$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,015.09	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	52c	6,341$3,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,044.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets	52c	6,024$3,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,879.46	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Rockets	48c	5,660$2,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,717.02	163	38.7%63 W · 100 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Nuggets	52c	5,185$2,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,488.78	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Nuggets	51c	4,902$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,401.98	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Nuggets	52c	2,951$1,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,418.47	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets	52c	2,798$1,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,342.25	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Nuggets	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-4.3wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Nuggets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	227	52%118 W · 109 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Rockets	48c	1,722$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826.62	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Rockets	48c	1,675$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.83	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets	53c	1,501$796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.47	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Nuggets	52c	1,288$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.23	206	47.6%98 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Rockets	57c	1,057$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	209	63.2%132 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets	48c	1,039$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.62	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Nuggets	50c	1,001$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Nuggets	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	239	38.1%91 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Nuggets	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d67…af7dbacked Rockets	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+156%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Rockets	49c	1,000$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets	50c	997.83$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.92	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Rockets	50c	801.79$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Nuggets	54c	741.68$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.92	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Nuggets	58c	692.82$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.82	309	45.3%140 W · 169 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Nuggets	52c	675.23$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.11	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Nuggets	53c	622.05$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.73	221	40.7%90 W · 131 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Nuggets	52c	617.23$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.27	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Nuggets	53c	584.97$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.02	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-10.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets	42c	488.95$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.36	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Rockets	49c	482$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.18	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Nuggets	55c	445.45$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.45	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Rockets	10c	436.73$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.56	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets	46c	433.09$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.64	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Nuggets	52c	337$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.76	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Rockets	47c	335$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.45	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Rockets	48c	333.33$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Rockets	49c	328.03$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.23	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Nuggets	50c	327.78$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.89	175	51.4%90 W · 85 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Nuggets	54c	303.59$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.65	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Rockets	48c	301.09$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.89	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets	51c	296.85$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.33	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Rockets	48c	270.95$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.06	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets	47c	266.68$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.11	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Rockets	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Rockets	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets	49c	207$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.22	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Rockets	49c	205$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.24	114	51.8%59 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Rockets	50c	200.13$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Nuggets	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets	7c	196.13$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Nuggets	53c	181.77$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.55	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nuggets	53c	160.38$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.38	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Nuggets	60c	159$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.73	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b5…9153backed Rockets	46c	144.02$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.25	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Nuggets	62c	140.65$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.7	384	53.4%205 W · 179 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Nuggets	52c	139.89$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.11	171	53.2%91 W · 80 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Rockets	48c	134.06$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.35	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Rockets	49c	125$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.25	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Nuggets	47c	122.83$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.1	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Rockets	50c	121.8$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.9	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Rockets	45c	112.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.26	265	45.3%120 W · 145 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets	64c	105.5$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.41	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed Rockets	48c	104.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nuggets	53c	103.13$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.47	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Rockets	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.9	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9d18…fd1bbacked Rockets	33c	99.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Nuggets	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Rockets	49c	95$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.55	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Nuggets	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	285	36.8%105 W · 180 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Rockets	46c	91.22$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.96	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rockets	43c	85.52$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.03	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Rockets	47c	84.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.78	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Rockets	45c	76.09$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.24	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb48d…91bcbacked Rockets	52c	69.23$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Rockets	49c	67.47$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.06	181	43.1%78 W · 103 L	-12.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed Rockets	48c	67.21$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.26	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Nuggets	52c	66.83$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.08	399	43.1%172 W · 227 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Rockets	48c	66.8$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.09	157	52.2%82 W · 75 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Nuggets	52c	65.79$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.54	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rockets	53c	64.03$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.94	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Rockets	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	224	42.9%96 W · 128 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets	52c	59.89$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.75	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Nuggets	49c	58.82$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Rockets	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Nuggets	47c	58.49$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d94…954ebacked Nuggets	53c	56.71$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.71	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Nuggets	53c	52.83$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.83	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5No won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Rockets vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event