NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc0715d5046eb503a1b3cf2e19c0edcb3a2488d5aa53e73681f86255fece0e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,344 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Nuggets | 56c | 14,013$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,112.91 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 52c | 11,747$6,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,108.32 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Nuggets | 53c | 7,105$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.28 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 45c | 6,966$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.9 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 5,376$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Rockets | 47c | 3,617$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 46c | 2,761$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.17 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 2,700$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.34 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…9dbbbacked Rockets | 47c | 2,666$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,581$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.86 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365d…bac1backed Rockets | 47c | 2,455$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57e…30e3backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,436$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Rockets | 47c | 2,336$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.15 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…beb2backed Rockets | 47c | 2,263$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…052cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,122$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138f…4908backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,088$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…66dbbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,056$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…a024backed Rockets | 47c | 2,056$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…7740backed Rockets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…4c50backed Rockets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982d…8a66backed Rockets | 47c | 1,988$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e0…2837backed Rockets | 47c | 1,966$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…0138backed Rockets | 47c | 1,966$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…dd95backed Rockets | 47c | 1,955$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,778$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.26 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…8fefbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,666$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…46a1backed Rockets | 47c | 1,636$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 44c | 1,611$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…9fb1backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,546$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…62afbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,502$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rockets | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 49c | 1,208$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 45c | 1,145$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…1ec4backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,108$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…4213backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,106$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…f912backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,105$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7449…d3aebacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,099$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…02dabacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,088$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…80b6backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,069$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…5460backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,055$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Rockets | 51c | 1,044$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.43 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…ae21backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…81e4backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,036$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…a7e7backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,033$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd1…8ea7backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,032$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…49c8backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,029$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…5b70backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,028$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…ce0ebacked Rockets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Nuggets | 52c | 969.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.61 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Nuggets | 54c | 931.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.12 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Rockets | 45c | 924.28$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Nuggets | 51c | 883.58$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.51 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Rockets | 45c | 881.78$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.25 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 52c | 804.03$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.63 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Rockets | 45c | 754.09$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.93 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 53c | 712.57$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0d…aea4backed Rockets | 47c | 702$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 44c | 670.82$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Rockets | 45c | 668.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.05 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ad…aca2backed Nuggets | 53c | 656$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Nuggets | 48c | 639.83$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.71 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Nuggets | 56c | 625$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.62 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Nuggets | 55c | 549.09$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.09 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Nuggets | 56c | 536.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets | 54c | 508.62$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Rockets | 49c | 493.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Rockets | 47c | 445.19$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Rockets | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 51c | 419.11$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Nuggets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Rockets | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 336.86$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.31 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Rockets | 53c | 283.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Nuggets | 56c | 273.02$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Nuggets | 55c | 259.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 51c | 255.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Rockets | 49c | 223.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Rockets | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Nuggets | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rockets | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Rockets | 49c | 199.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Rockets | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nuggets | 48c | 160.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 49c | 154.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Nuggets | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nuggets | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Rockets | 47c | 137.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Rockets | 49c | 132$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 129.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 122.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuggets | 59c | 120.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 51c | 113.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Nuggets | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…271dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 103.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Rockets | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Nuggets | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…c640backed Nuggets | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.