TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9252…6069

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.43
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$9.46
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.15
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.41
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.76
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$9.7
Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)backed Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.48
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.57
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$235.74
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$43.33
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$206.19
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$9.29
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+39%+$42.88
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$30.39
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.84
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.72
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+141%+$141
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$52.82
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61%+$30.51
Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$93.61
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.