NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3366683b110b62b8db84cae859ca9196cbacecf2ac0686177970adb3784c6170

Rebuilt 11 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Thunder, Nuggets
Resolved: Mar 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $84,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $96,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,539 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Nuggets	64c	15,112$9,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,442.21	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Nuggets	65c	14,831$9,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,190.88	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets	65c	8,253$5,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880.49	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder	38c	6,791$2,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,551.03	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Nuggets	62c	3,991$2,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,522.47	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	28c	3,162$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.55	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Nuggets	66c	2,757$1,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$934.88	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets	48c	2,457$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,283.1	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder	36c	2,400$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder	35c	2,285$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.9	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Nuggets	62c	2,177$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.37	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Thunder	36c	1,688$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.5	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Thunder	36c	1,687$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.32	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Thunder	40c	1,446$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.4	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder	46c	1,225$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.18	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets	65c	1,150$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.09	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder	39c	1,068$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.57	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	35c	989.99$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.5	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder	36c	867$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.12	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Thunder	38c	816.31$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.11	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Thunder	36c	694.44$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Thunder	41c	637.58$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.64	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Thunder	28c	580.93$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.34	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets	66c	555.4$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.91	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Nuggets	57c	537.19$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.86	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Thunder	36c	527$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.72	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Nuggets	59c	520.5$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.41	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Nuggets	61c	491.8$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.8	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Nuggets	61c	489.43$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.43	170	46.5%79 W · 91 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets	52c	465.65$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.68	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Thunder	33c	439.99$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.2	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Nuggets	61c	432$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.48	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Thunder	38c	423.79$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.04	161	47.2%76 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets	59c	416.95$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.95	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Thunder	43c	398$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.14	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets	54c	385.01$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.1	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Thunder	51c	332.05$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2695…832abacked Nuggets	68c	310.38$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.93	25	80%20 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	70cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Nuggets	33c	300$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets	65c	282.32$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.02	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Thunder	36c	264$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder	34c	238.77$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder	40c	214.15$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.66	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7573…2c46backed Nuggets	60c	214.15$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.66	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Nuggets	58c	212.93$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.43	138	64.5%89 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder	34c	212$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.36	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Thunder	36c	211.87$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.3	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Nuggets	58c	191$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.22	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Nuggets	72c	170.89$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.82	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Nuggets	62c	170$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Nuggets	59c	168.53$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.53	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Nuggets	62c	162.2$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.2	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9677…116fbacked Nuggets	78c	154.55$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ff…807cbacked Nuggets	67c	150.87$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.79	24	79.2%19 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	69cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1815…2137backed Nuggets	67c	150.24$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.58	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Nuggets	61c	144.26$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.26	905	60.8%550 W · 355 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Nuggets	69c	126.57$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.28	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Thunder	40c	126.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder	18c	125.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.44	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f47…f611backed Nuggets	78c	114.68$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.67	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-8.3wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Nuggets	58c	99$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.58	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Nuggets	68c	98.53$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.53	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Thunder	39c	98.31$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.89	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…9971backed Nuggets	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	281	56.2%158 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Nuggets	61c	82.52$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.52	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Nuggets	61c	82.24$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.24	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Nuggets	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Thunder	33c	78.48$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	157	52.2%82 W · 75 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets	75c	76.39$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Nuggets	65c	75.77$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.43	361	54.8%198 W · 163 L	+17.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets	75c	72.87$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.15	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder	36c	70.64$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.76	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets	60c	69.35$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.74	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ba…3b0bbacked Thunder	38c	66.41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Thunder	40c	62.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Thunder	40c	62$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8245…30e3backed Nuggets	64c	57.04$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Nuggets	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	224	42.9%96 W · 128 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Thunder	36c	55.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	128	41.4%53 W · 75 L	-7.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x936c…5523backed Thunder	30c	53.76$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.13	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Thunder	36c	51.56$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.73	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Nuggets	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Nuggets	65c	48.18$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	520	53.3%277 W · 243 L	+29.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Thunder	43c	47.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	574	44.1%253 W · 321 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Thunder	33c	46.92$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Thunder	24c	44.54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Thunder	36c	42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	327	47.4%155 W · 172 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfa…f49dbacked Nuggets	66c	41.77$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db2…cc8cbacked Nuggets	72c	41.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.45	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Nuggets	37c	40$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	236	49.2%116 W · 120 L	+28.6wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a4e…0781backed Thunder	32c	38.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Nuggets	68c	36.84$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.84	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.22per pick	56cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca38…b6d0backed Nuggets	68c	36.76$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Nuggets	68c	36.76$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Thunder	42c	36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Thunder	42c	36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	329	47.4%156 W · 173 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6695…de37backed Thunder	34c	35.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.9wins	-0.39per pick	49cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nuggets	59c	34.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.12	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…fb0bbacked Nuggets	76c	30.52$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.23	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 8.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Nuggets vs. ThunderThunder won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 241.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 243.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 244.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 246.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 247.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 248.5Over won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event