NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3607de5f78a16cc3ad07489629034d7a793fb2e6e34eea3b7b72859682dc61d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,870 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Nuggets | 61c | 37,701$23,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,530.15 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 57c | 37,419$21,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,090.35 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 43c | 35,555$15,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,288.14 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Nuggets | 61c | 22,933$13,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,945.06 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder | 39c | 17,095$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.92 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Nuggets | 64c | 13,548$8,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,877.44 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Thunder | 45c | 9,664$4,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.38 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 43c | 9,302$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.92 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 41c | 8,330$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…16f6backed Nuggets | 53c | 7,496$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…48fabacked Nuggets | 53c | 6,951$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…5290backed Nuggets | 53c | 6,866$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Nuggets | 56c | 6,853$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.82 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b7…ac9fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 6,721$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Thunder | 39c | 6,661$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.71 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…7c4dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 5,574$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…f579backed Nuggets | 53c | 5,457$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6fbcbacked Nuggets | 53c | 5,435$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 39c | 5,285$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.15 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Nuggets | 55c | 5,248$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.44 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffeb…c48abacked Nuggets | 53c | 5,240$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…f348backed Nuggets | 53c | 5,178$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.4 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3181…18ddbacked Nuggets | 53c | 4,758$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac4…8d22backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,685$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…b3f2backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,617$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…c95fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 4,330$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…22f0backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,194$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 60c | 4,121$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Thunder | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…ab1fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 3,934$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…e335backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,848$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…d796backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,736$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23b6…3eeebacked Nuggets | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…9830backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,472$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Nuggets | 59c | 3,391$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.71 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…5741backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,241$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.27 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…12cdbacked Nuggets | 53c | 3,081$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…fd49backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,947$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f49…c7eebacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,828$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.16 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…8e59backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,797$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.59 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…bca3backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,737$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…a9b4backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,661$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…d4cebacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,652$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Thunder | 42c | 2,545$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.38 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…662ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,504$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…4d17backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,499$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 41c | 2,432$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Nuggets | 55c | 2,415$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.55 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…01d8backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,384$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.48 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…20a0backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,327$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…94f1backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,298$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…ea06backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,287$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…8ca9backed Thunder | 47c | 2,269$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,190$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.72 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 58c | 2,132$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…d204backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,006$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Nuggets | 55c | 2,005$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.62 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71be…4d92backed Thunder | 47c | 1,989$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…a2bbbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,983$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…ad75backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,928$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.16 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…20bfbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…387fbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,910$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…47e6backed Thunder | 47c | 1,894$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0948…21b2backed Thunder | 47c | 1,853$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…e566backed Thunder | 47c | 1,826$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…057ebacked Thunder | 47c | 1,823$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…928cbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,819$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…11e8backed Thunder | 47c | 1,816$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…5bd0backed Thunder | 47c | 1,797$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…b76bbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,734$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…f97abacked Thunder | 47c | 1,733$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6471…31c3backed Thunder | 47c | 1,728$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…657dbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,711$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…055fbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,704$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…1aa1backed Thunder | 47c | 1,686$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…7430backed Thunder | 47c | 1,682$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Nuggets | 59c | 1,680$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.97 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3524…e7a7backed Thunder | 47c | 1,641$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c4…b12bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,636$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…1a50backed Thunder | 47c | 1,631$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…f6b2backed Thunder | 47c | 1,615$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e15…00f3backed Thunder | 47c | 1,610$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0610…90c2backed Thunder | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…56e1backed Thunder | 47c | 1,597$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0265…00fbbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…d6c0backed Thunder | 47c | 1,566$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…0c12backed Thunder | 47c | 1,550$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…8827backed Thunder | 47c | 1,543$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…dcb9backed Thunder | 47c | 1,536$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…2c70backed Thunder | 47c | 1,533$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…28f4backed Thunder | 47c | 1,523$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…7211backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,505$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Thunder | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,489$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.65 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,477$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.93 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…fa4bbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,461$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac6…6ffbbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…5775backed Thunder | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. ThunderThunder won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 244.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 246.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 247.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 248.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.