NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0259c2e8c3af8047d9ab6d31b35cd4cb5bccad3979ee4ec17ea3b838c55ae9a3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,458 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdda6…e5f3backed Under	48c	14,500$6,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,960	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe4…04abbacked Over	52c	14,400$7,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,912	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	52c	6,629$3,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,170.66	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	51c	6,500$3,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,154.97	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	47c	5,397$2,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,545.43	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	52c	4,446$2,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,318.17	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Under	49c	4,202$2,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,059	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	34c	2,429$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.21	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	26c	2,336$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.16	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	43c	2,048$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.49	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8490…8732backed Under	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.75	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over	53c	1,509$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.48	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over	48c	1,280$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.73	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	47c	1,277$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.19	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…2930backed Over	52c	1,176$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.48	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4901…112cbacked Over	52c	1,124$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.52	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	48c	833.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…e786backed Over	48c	781.25$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over	62c	744.84$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.04	163	38.7%63 W · 100 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under	45c	729.36$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.18	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under	41c	687.06$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.69	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over	52c	623.66$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.36	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under	49c	542.86$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under	4c	540.09$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.31	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	54c	466$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.36	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under	48c	460$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.8	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	51c	458.45$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.57	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	49c	404$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.96	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	41c	402.31$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.65	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Under	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	48c	391.5$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.92	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	46c	317.06$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.44	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	49c	315.09$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.55	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ac…2de8backed Over	53c	314.82$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.97	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over	79c	304.96$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.57	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ba…3b0bbacked Under	7c	304.66$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.63	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5577…f320backed Under	48c	270.83$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	55c	269.91$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.81	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under	13c	226.83$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.27	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under	49c	204.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…e1f4backed Under	53c	186.32$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.75	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-46%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	54c	173.67$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.45	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc762…95f0backed Over	48c	173.31$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.12	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under	8c	171.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over	63c	166.11$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.46	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x938b…46c0backed Over	48c	156.26$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.26	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over	59c	150$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.5	428	53%227 W · 201 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x752a…4f43backed Under	53c	143.25$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.92	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed Over	62c	133.66$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.79	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Under	47c	127.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Over	52c	127$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.96	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over	53c	123.05$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.99	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under	53c	113.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under	40c	112.44$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.89	145	33.1%48 W · 97 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under	48c	112.25$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.88	360	45%162 W · 198 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	25c	111.19$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.34	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over	45c	109.2$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.06	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Over	57c	105.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.26	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd212…f0f4backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	49c	101.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.56	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a50…38a9backed Over	53c	100.53$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.29	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	161	41.6%67 W · 94 L	-11.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32c3…f531backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under	48c	93.75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	109	43.1%47 W · 62 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under	44c	92.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	52c	92.17$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.24	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7e37…cfbdbacked Under	47c	83.91$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.44	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4227…8c10backed Under	48c	82.2$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed Under	47c	80.4$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-4.2wins	-0.22per pick	48cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba08…21f1backed Under	47c	78.89$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.08	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under	49c	73.49$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe285…5754backed Under	47c	72.06$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.87	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over	59c	68.93$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.43	157	52.2%82 W · 75 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under	49c	61.44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under	43c	61.37$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.33	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under	38c	59$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+29.4wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over	62c	56.53$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.53	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under	27c	54.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	54c	52.05$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.9	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Over	62c	48.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.62	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6695…de37backed Over	73c	41.2$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.99	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.9wins	-0.39per pick	49cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Over	48c	40.77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.34	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	36c	39.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over	47c	39$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.67	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over	46c	38.85$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c79…ddf6backed Under	54c	37.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1619…3a84backed Under	49c	32.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	49c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.19	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under	49c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.19	329	47.4%156 W · 173 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.13	380	48.7%185 W · 195 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	68c	27.91$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.03	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef49…1207backed Under	56c	26.77$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	52c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d15…91f1backed Under	48c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Under	48c	20.96$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	206	50.5%104 W · 102 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 8.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Nuggets vs. ThunderThunder won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 241.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 243.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 244.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 246.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 247.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 248.5Over won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event