NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2e9c67bd2d9f362b73d024af3a58fb598427e3086f68f559313be6354e1247f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,251 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder | 48c | 19,998$9,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.03 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 70c | 10,422$7,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Nuggets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 55c | 9,960$5,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500.28 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 53c | 9,781$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 54c | 7,762$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.88 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 29c | 5,658$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nuggets | 58c | 5,342$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.6 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Thunder | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Thunder | 44c | 3,636$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Thunder | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Thunder | 28c | 2,024$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.57 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Thunder | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Thunder | 45c | 1,665$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.25 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,303$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,185$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.25 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 36c | 1,070$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.02 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 43c | 1,007$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.69 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Thunder | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 52c | 908.01$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Thunder | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets | 64c | 546.25$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Nuggets | 78c | 513.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Thunder | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Thunder | 43c | 397$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 291.34$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Nuggets | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Nuggets | 53c | 257.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 41c | 254.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Nuggets | 65c | 243.77$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Thunder | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Nuggets | 77c | 203.37$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 57c | 202.05$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Thunder | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Nuggets | 52c | 199.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Nuggets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 41c | 176.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 26c | 171.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets | 49c | 156.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Thunder | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Thunder | 34c | 145.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Thunder | 44c | 136.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…2c56backed Thunder | 47c | 131.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Thunder | 27c | 129.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 48c | 126.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Nuggets | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Nuggets | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Nuggets | 63c | 119.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nuggets | 54c | 109.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 52c | 102.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Thunder | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…d946backed Nuggets | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 43c | 93.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44e…c6b8backed Thunder | 63c | 91.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nuggets | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Nuggets | 57c | 79.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Thunder | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Thunder | 47c | 71.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Thunder | 36c | 67.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 63.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Nuggets | 55c | 59.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Thunder | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Thunder | 45c | 52.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Thunder | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuggets | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Nuggets | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Thunder | 34c | 47.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Thunder | 29c | 46.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…1668backed Nuggets | 58c | 43.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Nuggets | 57c | 42.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 57c | 42.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Thunder | 30c | 41.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…abd3backed Nuggets | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Thunder | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Thunder | 49c | 37.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Thunder | 52c | 37.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Nuggets | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Nuggets | 70c | 34.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Nuggets | 64c | 34.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…8b38backed Thunder | 62c | 32.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Nuggets | 51c | 30.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Nuggets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Nuggets | 63c | 28.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 44c | 26.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Nuggets | 57c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…de37backed Thunder | 50c | 25.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…9462backed Nuggets | 56c | 23.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Nuggets | 52c | 19.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…a8cabacked Nuggets | 72c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. ThunderThunder won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 244.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 246.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 247.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 248.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.