TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c06…8b38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-8.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knightsbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$18.03
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-3.5)backed LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.51
Kennesaw State Owls vs. New Mexico State Aggiesbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.65
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.82
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$12.2
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.5%+$17.43
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.13
Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.76
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$34.1
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (W)backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.48
Maine Black Bears vs. Binghamton Bearcatsbacked Binghamton Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.29
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$14.54
Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericksbacked Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.8%+$8.6
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
NJIT Highlanders vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29%+$7.66
Samford Bulldogs vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.05
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Hornets (-9.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.98
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Grizzlies vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.42
76ers vs. Hawks: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.3
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.4%+$10.25
Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.53
Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.66
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$17.41
Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.57
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.98
Will CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 30.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+122.2%+$15.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$60.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.