Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b8f489b31826601e596600b833c561c8ecf47911d2715a371b17e155a79f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omaha Mavericksof Denver Pioneers, Omaha Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Omaha Mavericks | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Denver Pioneers | 28c | 17,705$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,957.44 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Denver Pioneers | 18c | 3,148$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Denver Pioneers | 14c | 2,202$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Denver Pioneers | 29c | 1,538$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.86 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Omaha Mavericks | 79c | 1,095$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.74 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Denver Pioneers | 15c | 1,000$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Omaha Mavericks | 79c | 907.17$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed Omaha Mavericks | 79c | 856.17$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.84 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Omaha Mavericks | 75c | 818.68$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Omaha Mavericks | 59c | 650$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.6 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Denver Pioneers | 16c | 616.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Omaha Mavericks | 77c | 593.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Denver Pioneers | 28c | 502.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Omaha Mavericks | 58c | 414.89$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.85 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Denver Pioneers | 17c | 288.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Denver Pioneers | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Omaha Mavericks | 73c | 202.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Denver Pioneers | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Denver Pioneers | 26c | 193.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Omaha Mavericks | 57c | 175.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Omaha Mavericks | 54c | 171.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Denver Pioneers | 25c | 168$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Omaha Mavericks | 56c | 154.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Denver Pioneers | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Denver Pioneers | 43c | 133.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Denver Pioneers | 42c | 133.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Denver Pioneers | 27c | 127.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Omaha Mavericks | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Denver Pioneers | 23c | 112.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Denver Pioneers | 20c | 107.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Omaha Mavericks | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Denver Pioneers | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d4…4d68backed Omaha Mavericks | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…f2aebacked Denver Pioneers | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Denver Pioneers | 42c | 84.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Denver Pioneers | 42c | 80.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Omaha Mavericks | 78c | 80.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed Omaha Mavericks | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 76cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Omaha Mavericks | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Denver Pioneers | 42c | 73.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Omaha Mavericks | 73c | 73.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Denver Pioneers | 30c | 60.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Denver Pioneers | 23c | 58.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Omaha Mavericks | 60c | 56.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Omaha Mavericks | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Denver Pioneers | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omaha Mavericks | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Omaha Mavericks | 58c | 49.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Denver Pioneers | 42c | 43.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Omaha Mavericks | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Omaha Mavericks | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…8b38backed Omaha Mavericks | 79c | 40.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Denver Pioneers | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Omaha Mavericks | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Denver Pioneers | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Omaha Mavericks | 73c | 34.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Omaha Mavericks | 58c | 30.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Omaha Mavericks | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed Omaha Mavericks | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Denver Pioneers | 42c | 24.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Denver Pioneers | 43c | 23.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Denver Pioneers | 43c | 23.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Omaha Mavericks | 71c | 22.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…b578backed Omaha Mavericks | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Omaha Mavericks | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…23cbbacked Omaha Mavericks | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…0ca8backed Omaha Mavericks | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericksthis page
- Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 159.5Under won
- Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 160.5Under won
- Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Omaha Mavericks (-2.5)Omaha Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.