Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3d4551339bd7fb4c45164fd4427f2fe1133107cc551ce04fd22adfe80ad2e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 51c | 31,772$16,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,642.53 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 14,378$7,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,008.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 50c | 2,216$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 1,974$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.38 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,108$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 490.2$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 382$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.18 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 50c | 197.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 51c | 196.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 108.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 61c | 55.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…a7aebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 52c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…9e90backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6263…f8e1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 160.5this page
- Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha MavericksOmaha Mavericks won
- Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 159.5Under won
- Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Omaha Mavericks (-2.5)Omaha Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.