Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dbc146e074b813e55e2bda2ee740ce398d37dfb8cb630db1d80c56de3afa9f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,136 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 48c | 7,030$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.24 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 53c | 4,990$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.37 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 55c | 4,749$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.89 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 4,167$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 2,589$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Over | 1c | 2,499$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 60c | 2,470$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.67 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 59c | 2,409$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.53 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,071$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.11 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 56c | 1,058$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.98 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.57 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 42c | 853.63$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.52 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 47c | 596.6$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.4 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 46c | 496.81$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.31 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 446.22$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.57 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 57c | 443.97$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…0e8cbacked Over | 54c | 435.07$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 391.45$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 47c | 389.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 39c | 290.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 285.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 262.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 47c | 245.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Over | 43c | 220.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 43c | 155.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 148.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Over | 47c | 147.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 114.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Over | 47c | 106.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 105.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 51c | 103.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 46c | 86.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 54c | 79.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Under | 67c | 77.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 51c | 75.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 54c | 73.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 46c | 63.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 58c | 59.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 59c | 51.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 45c | 51.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 45c | 50.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 47c | 49.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…0edfbacked Over | 56c | 46.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Over | 47c | 39.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…48cabacked Under | 57c | 33.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 45c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89c…df9abacked Under | 65c | 30.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 30.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 46c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…8b38backed Under | 67c | 29.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 61c | 28.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Under | 53c | 22.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…221dbacked Under | 55c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 136.5this page
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois SalukisDrake Bulldogs won
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 135.5Under won
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)Drake Bulldogs won
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-5.5)Drake Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.