Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9866930f2a3dabaaba54a0bc39ef7b9430ae1fd1731ba1b48dd52a480c052ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drake Bulldogsof Southern Illinois Salukis, Drake Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,898 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 13,478$6,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,987.47 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Drake Bulldogs | 60c | 10,311$6,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.75 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Drake Bulldogs | 49c | 3,372$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.35 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 40c | 3,240$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 41c | 2,728$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 48c | 2,580$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Drake Bulldogs | 50c | 2,324$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.34 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 40c | 2,275$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.04 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Drake Bulldogs | 48c | 2,027$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Drake Bulldogs | 49c | 1,957$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.87 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Drake Bulldogs | 48c | 1,093$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Drake Bulldogs | 46c | 935.37$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.65 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Drake Bulldogs | 50c | 800.84$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 796.35$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.1 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 22c | 780.01$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Drake Bulldogs | 50c | 535.28$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.64 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Drake Bulldogs | 74c | 533.78$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 495.63$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 40c | 487.35$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Drake Bulldogs | 50c | 475.8$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 26c | 405.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 40c | 377.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 40c | 319.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Drake Bulldogs | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Drake Bulldogs | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Drake Bulldogs | 49c | 191$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Drake Bulldogs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 40c | 94.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Drake Bulldogs | 48c | 93.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Drake Bulldogs | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed Drake Bulldogs | 60c | 86.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Drake Bulldogs | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 51c | 74.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 62c | 71.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 41c | 64.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Drake Bulldogs | 48c | 61.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Drake Bulldogs | 48c | 52.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 53c | 46.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Drake Bulldogs | 50c | 43.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 40c | 34.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Drake Bulldogs | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Drake Bulldogs | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Drake Bulldogs | 48c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)this page
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois SalukisDrake Bulldogs won
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 135.5Under won
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 136.5Under won
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-5.5)Drake Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.