Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1934873301810b1ab66601074d2274f5379f4321a0126511a4b4da226fdc90eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 7,871$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 3,056$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,815$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.46 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 25c | 996.76$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…85febacked Yes | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 32c | 850$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.15 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 71c | 798.51$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 71c | 714$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 34c | 606.89$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 593.82$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.48 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 590$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.7 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…c0eabacked No | 68c | 505.98$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 79c | 499.81$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 429.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.87 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 63c | 416$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 32c | 320$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed No | 15c | 277.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 220.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked No | 11c | 188.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Yes | 70c | 171.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 169.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 147.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 46c | 144$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 41c | 132.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 123.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 121.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 27c | 121$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 118.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 117.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 27c | 71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Yes | 78c | 69.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 61.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 26c | 59.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked No | 75c | 59.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…4bc6backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…8905backed Yes | 27c | 49.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…7ee7backed Yes | 26c | 48.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 41.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +280%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…c1aebacked Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 32c | 31.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 69c | 30.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 66c | 21.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…8b38backed Yes | 76c | 21.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-13?No won
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.